Single · No. 69 · 11 OCTLost
Washington vs Seattle
- 01Washington vs SeattleWashington win · incl. OT1.47 · Lost
- Total odds
- 1.47
- Stake
- 2.00 units
- P&L
- -2.00 units
- Our estimate
- 63–67%
Published 11 OCT 07:30
Odds: average of 15 popular bookmakers, 11 OCT 07:4318+Play responsibly
Odds: average of 15 popular bookmakers, 11 OCT 07:4318+Play responsibly
Why this betAn NHL single: Washington to beat Seattle at home, overtime and shootout included. Last season the Capitals took 57.9% of available points and the Kraken 48.2%; Washington have no travel, Logan Thompson in form, and face a Seattle penalty kill at 71.4% this season.
Leg 1 · Hockey · USA · NHL · 11 OCT · 22:00 UK
Washington vs Seattle
Washington win · incl. OT1.47Lost
Why this pickWashington were the stronger team over all of last season (57.9% of points against 48.2%), play their third straight home game and have Thompson at .929. Seattle score a lot but kill penalties poorly, so we take the win with overtime included.
- Predicted score · alt 3:4
- 3:2
- Our estimate · Washington win · incl. OT
- 63–67%
Form · Washington 3-1 in their last 4. Seattle 3-2.
Washington3-1
- Winvs NY Rangers3:1
- Winvs Pittsburgh5:3
- Lossvs Tampa Bay1:3
- Winvs Carolina5:2
- Goals scored per game, overtime included.
- 3.50
- Goals allowed per game, overtime included.
- 2.25
- Share of these games with six or more goals, overtime included.
- 50%
- Share of these games decided in overtime or a shootout.
- 0%
Seattle3-2
- Winvs Detroit6:3
- Lossvs Vegas2:6
- Winvs Calgary6:1
- Lossvs Edmonton1:3
- Winvs Calgary6:1
- Goals scored per game, overtime included.
- 4.20
- Goals allowed per game, overtime included.
- 2.80
- Share of these games with six or more goals, overtime included.
- 80%
- Share of these games decided in overtime or a shootout.
- 0%
Lineups · Expected
- Washington
- DoubtPierre-Luc DuboisIllness, day-to-day
- DoubtMatt RoyLower body, day-to-day
- OutRasmus SandinKnee, injured reserve
- OutPatrick ThomasUpper body, injured reserve
- Seattle
- OutRyan LindgrenUpper body, injured reserve
- OutJacob MelansonChest, injured reserve
- OutJake O'BrienLower body, injured reserve
What others predict · Consensus 2 of 2
Our positionWe agree on the winner. Sportsgambler sees a one-goal game, and so do we, so we take the win with overtime included rather than a handicap or a regulation-time result.
Scenario & score
Thompson and the power play against Seattle's scoring. 3:2 to Washington is our main score: Thompson keeps Seattle quieter than Calgary and Detroit did, and Washington's power play finds gaps in a penalty kill that has let in nearly three in ten chances. 3:4 for Seattle is the alternative if the Kraken score early and turn it into a high-scoring game, as they did in Detroit. Any Washington win, in regulation, overtime or a shootout, wins this pick; any Seattle win loses it.
Arguing against ourselves
- 01Washington have been outshot this season, 25.5 shots for and 28.8 against a game: Thompson's .929 has done a lot of the work.
- 02Seattle have scored six goals in three of their five games, including Friday in Detroit.
- 03Dubois and Roy are day-to-day; if both miss it, Washington lose a top-six centre and a regular on defence.
- 04Sportsgambler's own prediction is 3:2, and four games into a season form can turn quickly.
Key factWashington won 5:2 in Carolina, lost 1:3 in Tampa, then beat Pittsburgh 5:3 and the Rangers 3:1 at home. Seattle's five games are all big margins: 6:1 twice against Calgary and 6:3 in Detroit on Friday, but 1:3 in Edmonton and 2:6 at home to Vegas.
Full match analysis