Double · No. 54 · 8 OCTWon
Carolina vs Vancouver + Calgary vs Colorado
- 01Carolina vs VancouverCarolina win · incl. OT1.22 · Won
- 02Calgary vs ColoradoColorado win · incl. OT1.33 · Won
- Total odds
- 1.62
- Stake
- 2.00 units
- P&L
- +1.24 units
- Our estimate
- 50–55%
Published 8 OCT 08:4618+Play responsibly
Why this betAn NHL double of two wins with overtime included: Carolina at home to a Vancouver side conceding 4.5 a game without Demko, and Colorado away at a Calgary team that has scored three goals in three games.
Leg 1 · Hockey · USA · NHL · 9 OCT · 00:00 UK
Carolina vs Vancouver
Carolina win · incl. OT1.22Won
Why this pickVancouver have conceded 18 goals in four games and are without Demko; Carolina outshoot opponents 30.3 to 21.3 a game. Overtime counts.
- Predicted score · alt 3:2
- 4:2
- Our estimate · Carolina win · incl. OT
- 72–77%
Form · Carolina 2-2 in their last 4. Vancouver 2-2.
Carolina2-2
- Winvs Montreal6:4
- Win in overtime or shootoutvs Philadelphia3:2 OT
- Lossvs Washington2:5
- Loss in overtime or shootoutvs Florida0:1 OT
- Goals scored per game, overtime included.
- 2.75
- Goals allowed per game, overtime included.
- 3.00
- Share of these games with six or more goals, overtime included.
- 50%
- Share of these games decided in overtime or a shootout.
- 50%
Vancouver2-2
- Lossvs Vegas2:3
- Winvs Calgary4:1
- Lossvs Edmonton7:9
- Win in overtime or shootoutvs Edmonton6:5 OT
- Goals scored per game, overtime included.
- 4.75
- Goals allowed per game, overtime included.
- 4.50
- Share of these games with six or more goals, overtime included.
- 50%
- Share of these games decided in overtime or a shootout.
- 25%
Lineups · Expected
- Carolina
- OutSeth Jarvis
- OutAlexander Nikishin
- FormSebastian Aho4 goals and 3 assists in 4 games
- Vancouver
- OutThatcher Demko
- OutFilip ChytilInjured reserve
- DoubtJake DeBruskSources conflict: one preview reports him injured, Daily Faceoff lists him on the top line
- FormPettersson6 points in 4 games
- FormCotter4 goals in 4 games
What others predict · Consensus 2 of 2
Our positionWe agree on the winner but take only the win: a one-goal game or overtime is a real outcome here.
Scenario & score
Carolina's shot volume wears Vancouver down. 4:2 is our main score. 3:2 in overtime is the alternative if Vancouver's goalie keeps it close; it still wins this pick, as would 3:1 or 5:2. Any Vancouver win loses it.
Arguing against ourselves
- 01Carolina are not solid in net either: Bussi is at .851.
- 02Carolina score only 2.75 a game and have lost two of their four, one in overtime.
- 03Vancouver score 4.75 a game, so this could turn into a high-scoring game.
Key factCarolina outshoot opponents 30.3 to 21.3 a game. Vancouver have allowed 18 goals in four games, including nine in Edmonton, and kill only 68.8% of penalties.
Full match analysisLeg 2 · Hockey · USA · NHL · 9 OCT · 02:00 UK
Calgary vs Colorado
Colorado win · incl. OT1.33Won
Why this pickCalgary are 0-3 with 3 goals for and 16 against; Colorado score 5.33 a game. Colorado are on the second night of a back-to-back. Overtime counts.
- Predicted score · alt 2:3
- 2:4
- Our estimate · Colorado win · incl. OT
- 68–73%
Form · Calgary 0-3 in their last 3. Colorado 2-1.
Calgary0-3
- Lossvs Seattle1:6
- Lossvs Vancouver1:4
- Lossvs Seattle1:6
- Goals scored per game, overtime included.
- 1.00
- Goals allowed per game, overtime included.
- 5.33
- Share of these games with six or more goals, overtime included.
- 66.7%
- Share of these games decided in overtime or a shootout.
- 0%
Colorado2-1
- Lossvs Winnipeg2:3
- Winvs St. Louis6:1
- Winvs Los Angeles8:4
- Goals scored per game, overtime included.
- 5.33
- Goals allowed per game, overtime included.
- 2.67
- Share of these games with six or more goals, overtime included.
- 66.7%
- Share of these games decided in overtime or a shootout.
- 0%
Lineups · Expected
- Calgary
- OutJonathan Huberdeau
- Colorado
- DoubtLogan O'ConnorDay-to-day
What others predict · Consensus 1 of 1
Our positionFew sources so far, and that model has the goalies as unknown and does not yet include last night's loss. We take the win with overtime rather than the 60-minute market.
Scenario & score
Colorado's class tells after a slow start. 2:4 is our main score. 2:3 for Colorado in overtime is the alternative on tired legs; it still wins this pick, as would 3:1 or 5:2. Any Calgary win loses it.
Arguing against ourselves
- 01A back-to-back with travel, probably with a goalie who has not played this season.
- 02Calgary are rested and at home, and three straight losses often bring an angry start.
- 03Three games is a small sample for either team.
Key factColorado average 5.33 goals a game; Calgary have scored 3 and conceded 16 in three losses. Colorado beat Calgary three times in 60 minutes last season, 9-2, 3-1 and 3-1.
Full match analysis