Double · No. 60 · 10 OCTWon
Rangers vs Kilmarnock + Marítimo vs Porto
- 01Rangers vs KilmarnockRangers win1.13 · Won
- 02Marítimo vs PortoPorto win1.27 · Won
- Total odds
- 1.44
- Stake
- 2.00 units
- P&L
- +0.88 units
- Our estimate
- 56–62%
Published 10 OCT 09:48
Odds: average of 29 popular bookmakers, 10 OCT 09:5118+Play responsibly
Odds: average of 29 popular bookmakers, 10 OCT 09:5118+Play responsibly
Why this betRangers at home to bottom side Kilmarnock, and unbeaten Porto away at Marítimo. Both legs need only a win: Rangers have won five league games in a row, Porto have won all seven and conceded three goals.
Leg 1 · Football · Scotland · Premiership · 10 OCT · 15:00 UK
Rangers vs Kilmarnock
Rangers win1.13Won
Why this pickRangers are second with five league wins in a row and four goals conceded in seven games; Kilmarnock are bottom with one win and have not beaten Rangers in five meetings. We expect a home win, most likely 2:0.
- Predicted score · alt 1:0
- 2:0
- Our estimate · Rangers win
- 80–84%
Form · Rangers 15 from 15. Kilmarnock 5 from 15.
Rangers15 pts
- Winvs Celtic1:0
- Winvs St Mirren1:0
- Winvs Motherwell1:0
- Winvs Falkirk2:1
- Winvs Aberdeen1:0
- Goals scored per game in these matches.
- 1.20
- Goals conceded per game in these matches.
- 0.20
- Share of these matches with three or more goals.
- 20%
- Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
- 20%
Kilmarnock5 pts
- Drawvs Hearts1:1
- Winvs Hibernian1:0
- Drawvs Aberdeen0:0
- Lossvs St Mirren0:1
- Lossvs Dundee United0:4
- Goals scored per game in these matches.
- 0.40
- Goals conceded per game in these matches.
- 1.20
- Share of these matches with three or more goals.
- 20%
- Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
- 20%
Lineups · Expected
- Rangers
- OutCammy DevlinHamstring injury, out for at least six weeks
- OutLawrence ShanklandLong-term injury
- OutYoussef ChermitiLong-term injury
- OutDaisuke YokotaLong-term injury
- OutJosé CifuentesInjury
- DoubtTuur RommensGroin problem, expected to be fit
- Kilmarnock
- OutRobbie DeasInjury
What others predict · Consensus 4 of 4
Our positionWe agree. The question is the margin, not the winner: all five of Rangers’ league wins in a row came by a single goal.
Scenario & score
Rangers on the ball, Kilmarnock deep. Kilmarnock should defend deep and look for set pieces. Rangers take far more shots than their opponents and should create enough to score twice. 2:0 is our main score; 1:0 is the alternative if the first game after three weeks off is slow. A draw is the result that beats us.
Arguing against ourselves
- 01Rangers score few: eight league goals in seven games, and all five straight wins were by one goal.
- 02Two forwards, Shankland and Chermiti, are missing and Devlin is a new absence.
- 03It is the first game after a three-week break, and Kilmarnock won 1:0 at Hibernian last month.
Key factRangers are second on 16 points, two behind Celtic, and have conceded four league goals in seven games. Kilmarnock are 12th with one league win, have conceded 15 and have not beaten Rangers in their last five meetings.
Full match analysisLeg 2 · Football · Portugal · Primeira Liga · 10 OCT · 18:00 UK
Marítimo vs Porto
Porto win1.27Won
Why this pickPorto have won seven from seven and conceded three; Marítimo have two points from their last five league games. Fofana and Veiga are back for Porto. We expect an away win, most likely 2:0.
- Predicted score · alt 1:2
- 0:2
- Our estimate · Porto win
- 70–74%
Form · Marítimo 2 from 15. Porto 15 from 15.
Marítimo2 pts
- Drawvs Gil Vicente1:1
- Lossvs Moreirense1:3
- Lossvs Benfica0:3
- Lossvs Arouca1:2
- Drawvs Académico de Viseu2:2
- Goals scored per game in these matches.
- 1.00
- Goals conceded per game in these matches.
- 2.20
- Share of these matches with three or more goals.
- 80%
- Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
- 80%
Porto15 pts
- Winvs Benfica3:1
- Winvs Casa Pia4:1
- Winvs Moreirense2:1
- Winvs Académico de Viseu3:0
- Winvs Arouca2:0
- Goals scored per game in these matches.
- 2.80
- Goals conceded per game in these matches.
- 0.60
- Share of these matches with three or more goals.
- 80%
- Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
- 60%
Lineups · Expected
- Marítimo
- OutYellu SantiagoHamstring injury
- DoubtAdrian ButzkeForced off injured against Gil Vicente
- DoubtSimo BouzaidiBack in team training
- Porto
- OutNehuén PérezInjury
- OutZaidu SanusiInjury
- OutVasco SousaInjury
- OutJoão CostaInjury
What others predict · Consensus 3 of 3
Our positionWe agree on the winner. Two of the three expect Marítimo to score; we think Porto’s defence keeps them out.
Scenario & score
Porto press high, Marítimo hold on. Porto should press high and dominate the ball in Funchal, while Marítimo sit deep and wait for counters and set pieces. 0:2 is our main score; 1:2 is the alternative if Marítimo get one back. A draw is the result that beats us.
Arguing against ourselves
- 01Barreiros is a hard away trip for Porto: six wins, five draws and four defeats in their last 15 visits.
- 02Farioli himself warned about the pitch and called Marítimo a side that has always caused Porto problems.
- 03It is the first game after a three-week break, and Porto play Real Betis in the Champions League on Wednesday.
Key factPorto lead the table on 21 points, three ahead of Sporting, who have played a game more, with 18 goals scored and 3 conceded. Their only defeat this season was 0:2 at home to Manchester City in the Champions League. Marítimo have eight points and one home win, on the opening weekend.
Full match analysis