Single · No. 68 · 11 OCTWon
Rennes vs Auxerre
- 01Rennes vs AuxerreRennes win1.44 · Won
- Total odds
- 1.44
- Stake
- 2.00 units
- P&L
- +0.88 units
- Our estimate
- 63–68%
Published 11 OCT 07:3018+Play responsibly
Why this betA single on Rennes at home to Auxerre, who are without Okoh, Diousse and the suspended Makosso and have lost both their away games this season.
Leg 1 · Football · France · Ligue 1 · 11 OCT · 16:15 UK
Rennes vs Auxerre
Rennes win1.44Won
Why this pickRennes are unbeaten at home this season, with wins over Marseille and Le Mans and a draw with PSG. Auxerre are without Okoh, Diousse and the suspended Makosso, and lost 2:5 at Lens and 1:3 at Lyon on their travels. We expect a home win, most likely 2:1.
- Predicted score · alt 1:1
- 2:1
- Our estimate · Rennes win
- 63–68%
Form · Rennes 10 from 15. Auxerre 6 from 15.
Rennes10 pts
- Lossvs Lyon0:4
- Drawvs Sturm Graz0:0
- Winvs Marseille1:0
- Winvs Angers2:1
- Winvs Le Mans3:2
- Goals scored per game in these matches.
- 1.20
- Goals conceded per game in these matches.
- 1.40
- Share of these matches with three or more goals.
- 60%
- Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
- 40%
Auxerre6 pts
- Winvs Brest2:1
- Winvs Nice1:0
- Lossvs Lyon1:3
- Lossvs Angers1:3
- Lossvs Lens2:5
- Goals scored per game in these matches.
- 1.40
- Goals conceded per game in these matches.
- 2.40
- Share of these matches with three or more goals.
- 80%
- Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
- 80%
Lineups · Expected
- Rennes
- DoubtDjaoui CisséGroin strain
- Auxerre
- OutBryan OkohCruciate ligament tear
- OutAssane DiousseCruciate ligament tear
- OutChrist MakossoSuspended
- DoubtMarvin SenayaHamstring injury
What others predict · Consensus 2 of 2
Our positionWe agree on the winner. Auxerre have scored in all five league games, so we expect 2:1 rather than 2:0.
Scenario & score
Rennes push, Auxerre counter. Rennes took 19 shots a game over their last five and should press a weakened Auxerre side back. 2:1 is our main score. 1:1 is the risk: Will Still’s side score on the break and then hold on, as they did against Nice. A draw or an Auxerre win beats us.
Arguing against ourselves
- 01Over their last ten games Rennes allowed more shots on target than they had, and conceded 18 goals.
- 02The 0:4 at Lyon is still fresh.
- 03Auxerre won their last two league games, and Sports Mole notes they have taken points in five of their last six visits to Roazhon Park.
Key factRennes are sixth on ten points from five games and unbeaten at home: 1:0 against Marseille, 3:2 against Le Mans and 2:2 against PSG. Auxerre are 14th on six points. They won their last two, 1:0 against Nice and 2:1 against Brest, both at home, and lost both away games, 2:5 at Lens and 1:3 at Lyon.
Full match analysis