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Double · No. 72 · 12 OCTLost

PAOK vs Kalamata + Elfsborg vs Halmstad

  1. 01PAOK vs KalamataPAOK win1.17 · Lost
  2. 02Elfsborg vs HalmstadElfsborg win1.30 · Won
Total odds
1.52
Stake
2.00 units
P&L
-2.00 units
Our estimate
52–56%
Published 12 OCT 06:5018+Play responsibly
Why this betPAOK at home to Kalamata, unbeaten in their last ten league games at Toumba, and Elfsborg at home to a Halmstad side with six goals in ten games. Both legs need only a home win.
Leg 1 · Football · Greece · Super League · 12 OCT · 16:00 UK

PAOK vs Kalamata

PAOK win1.17Lost
Why this pickPAOK have won seven and drawn three of their last ten league games at Toumba, and Kalamata have one win in five. Pavlenka and Taha Ali are out after shoulder surgery, so we take the straight win, most likely 2:0.
Predicted score · alt 1:1
2:0
Our estimate · PAOK win
75–79%

Form · PAOK 9 from 12. Kalamata 4 from 15.

PAOK9 pts
  • Winvs Panetolikos3:1
  • Winvs Aris2:0
  • Lossvs Panathinaikos1:3
  • Winvs Atromitos2:1
Goals scored per game in these matches.
2.00
Goals conceded per game in these matches.
1.25
Share of these matches with three or more goals.
75%
Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
75%
Kalamata4 pts
  • Lossvs Panathinaikos0:1
  • Winvs Volos3:1
  • Drawvs Atromitos1:1
  • Lossvs Panetolikos0:2
  • Lossvs Aris2:3
Goals scored per game in these matches.
1.20
Goals conceded per game in these matches.
1.60
Share of these matches with three or more goals.
40%
Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
60%

Lineups · Expected

  • PAOK
  • OutJiří PavlenkaShoulder surgery
  • OutTaha AliShoulder surgery
  • DoubtKiril DespodovTrained in part, not expected to play
  • Kalamata
  • No absences reported.

What others predict · Consensus 2 of 2

Our positionWe agree on the winner and take the plain home win, with no handicap. Without Pavlenka and Taha Ali we expect 2:0 rather than a rout.

Scenario & score

PAOK push from the start, Kalamata sit deep. PAOK should have most of the ball against a Kalamata side that defends in a low block. 2:0 is our main score, with the second goal after the break. 1:1 is the risk: a slow PAOK after three weeks off and a Kalamata goal from a set piece. Any PAOK win settles this leg; a draw or a Kalamata win beats it.

Arguing against ourselves

  1. 01PAOK play without goalkeeper Pavlenka and Taha Ali, and Despodov is not expected to play.
  2. 02PAOK lost two of their last five, at Panathinaikos and in Conference League qualifying, and took 12 shots a game to their opponents’ 14.5 over that run.
  3. 03It is the first game after a 22-day break, with the internationals back late.
Key factPAOK are fourth on 12 points from five games (12:5) and have not lost any of their last ten home league games, winning seven. Kalamata are 11th on 4 points (6:8), and their only win in five was 3:1 against Volos. PAOK won both cup meetings in 2022/23, each 2:0.
Full match analysis
Leg 2 · Football · Sweden · Allsvenskan · 12 OCT · 18:00 UK

Elfsborg vs Halmstad

Elfsborg win1.30Won
Why this pickHalmstad are 16th and have scored six goals in their last ten games, failing to score in five. Elfsborg have won six of their last ten; both previews expect 1:0, so we take the win with no handicap.
Predicted score · alt 1:1
1:0
Our estimate · Elfsborg win
68–72%

Form · Elfsborg 10 from 15. Halmstad 7 from 15.

Elfsborg10 pts
  • Winvs Djurgården2:1
  • Winvs Kalmar1:0
  • Lossvs Brommapojkarna1:2
  • Winvs Degerfors2:0
  • Drawvs Göteborg1:1
Goals scored per game in these matches.
1.40
Goals conceded per game in these matches.
0.80
Share of these matches with three or more goals.
40%
Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
60%
Halmstad7 pts
  • Winvs AIK2:1
  • Lossvs Göteborg1:2
  • Lossvs Degerfors0:2
  • Winvs Kalmar1:0
  • Drawvs Örgryte1:1
Goals scored per game in these matches.
1.00
Goals conceded per game in these matches.
1.20
Share of these matches with three or more goals.
40%
Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
60%

Lineups · Expected

  • Elfsborg
  • No absences reported.
  • Halmstad
  • No absences reported.

What others predict · Consensus 2 of 2

Our positionWe agree on the winner and on a tight game, so we take the straight win and no handicap.

Scenario & score

Elfsborg keep the ball, Halmstad wait. Elfsborg should control the game against a Halmstad side that sits deep and creates little. 1:0 is our main score. 1:1 is the risk, as in May: Halmstad score from one of their rare attacks and hold on. Any Elfsborg win settles this leg, 1:0 included.

Arguing against ourselves

  1. 01Both previews predict 1:0, so one goal decides it and the draw is a real outcome.
  2. 02Halmstad won two of their last five and beat Elfsborg 2:1 in Borås in August 2025.
  3. 03The previews disagree on who Elfsborg are missing, and one of the names is a goalkeeper.
Key factElfsborg are fifth on 37 points (10 wins, 7 draws, 5 defeats, 31:22) and have won six of their last ten. Halmstad are 16th on 14 points (3 wins, 5 draws, 14 defeats, 16:40), in the relegation zone with eight rounds left. The meeting in Halmstad in May ended 1:1; Halmstad won 2:1 in Borås in August 2025.
Full match analysis