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Single · No. 81 · 14 OCTWon

Svitolina vs Samsonova

  1. 01Elina Svitolina vs Liudmila SamsonovaElina Svitolina win1.34 · Won
Total odds
1.34
Stake
1.00 unit
P&L
+0.34 units
Our estimate
69–72%
Published 13 OCT 18:45
Odds: average of 33 popular bookmakers, 13 OCT 18:4818+Play responsibly
Why this betA single on Elina Svitolina to beat Liudmila Samsonova in the Wuhan Open second round: she is 31-10 on hard courts this season, and Samsonova needed three sets on Tuesday.
Leg 1 · Tennis · WTA · Wuhan Open, Wuhan · 14 OCT · 04:00 UK

Elina Svitolina vs Liudmila Samsonova

Elina Svitolina win1.34Won
Why this pickSvitolina is 31-10 on hard courts this season to Samsonova’s 15-14, and she won their only meeting. Samsonova played three sets the day before. A win in three sets also counts.
Predicted score
2:0
Our estimate
69–72%

Form · Svitolina is 31-10 on hard courts in 2026, Samsonova 15-14

Elina SvitolinaLast 10: 6-4
  1. Won v Sierra S. 6-1, 6-2
  2. Won v Joint M. 6-2, 6(6)-7, 6-4
  3. Lost to Kalinskaya A. 6-3, 2-6, 6-3
  4. Lost to Minnen G. 6(5)-7, 6-4, 6-4
  5. Won v Paolini J. 6-2, 6-2
  6. Lost to Noskova L. 6-3, 7-6(5)
  7. Won v Siniakova K. 1-6, 6-4, 6-2
  8. Won v Sakkari M. 6-4, 7-5
  9. Won v Li A. 6-2, 6-3
  10. Lost to Zheng Q. 6-3, 7-6(6)
Liudmila SamsonovaLast 10: 6-4
  1. Won v Putintseva Y. 7-6(5), 5-7, 7-5
  2. Lost to Gauff C. 2-6, 6-4, 6-1
  3. Lost to Joint M. 3-6, 6-2, 6-2
  4. Won v Jacquemot E. 7-6(6), 6-2
  5. Won v Day K. 7-6(4), 2-6, 7-6(5)
  6. Won v Kostyuk M. 4-6, 6-2, 7-5
  7. Lost to Stearns P. 7-6(7), 6-2
  8. Won v Fruhvirtova L. 6-2, 3-6, 6-3
  9. Lost to Muchova K. 4-6, 6-4, 6-2
  10. Won v Siniakova K. 6-1, 5-7, 6-2

Stats comparison

StatSvitolinaSamsonova
On hard courts31-1015-14
Last 10 matches6-46-4
Service games held72.2%69.2%
Return games won42.2%32.2%

Our scenario

6:4, 6:3 2:0 in sets

Svitolina in two sets. Svitolina returns better and moves better in long rallies; Samsonova relies on her first serve and played three sets the day before. We expect Svitolina to break early and win 6:4, 6:3. A 2:1 Svitolina win, as in Bad Homburg, still wins the bet.

Arguing against ourselves

  1. 01Svitolina lost three of her last five matches (Zheng, Minnen and Noskova).
  2. 02Samsonova took the first set off her in Bad Homburg and has already played a match on these courts.
  3. 03Svitolina withdrew before her Bad Homburg quarter-final in June.
Svitolina in BeijingShe beat Katerina Siniakova 1:6, 6:4, 6:2, Maria Sakkari 6:4, 7:5 and Ann Li 6:2, 6:3, then lost the quarter-final to Zheng Qinwen 3:6, 6:7(6) on 9 October. She had a bye in the first round in Wuhan.
Full match analysis