Elina SvitolinavsLiudmila Samsonova prediction · Wuhan Open 2026
Who will win Svitolina vs Samsonova?
Elina Svitolina, the fifth seed, opens her Wuhan Open against Liudmila Samsonova in the second round on Wednesday. We back Svitolina to win the match, most likely 6:4, 6:3.
- Predicted score
- 2:0
- Our estimate
- 69–72%
- Our pick
- Elina Svitolina win
- Odds at publish
- 1.40
- Set by set
- 6:4, 6:3
- Not before (UK)
- 04:00
Svitolina vs Samsonova at a glance
| Match | Elina Svitolina vs Liudmila Samsonova |
|---|---|
| Tournament | WTA · Wuhan Open, Wuhan · Second round |
| Surface | Hard |
| Start | 14 OCT · 04:00 UK · 11:00 local |
| Court | Court 1 · First match on court |
| Our pick | Elina Svitolina win · 1.40 · bet |
| Our estimate | 69–72% |
| Predicted score | 2:0 (6:4, 6:3) |
| Main reason | Svitolina is 31-10 on hard courts this season; Samsonova is 15-14. |
Svitolina vs Samsonova: recent form
Svitolina is 31-10 on hard courts in 2026, Samsonova 15-14
- Won v Sierra S. 6-1, 6-2
- Won v Joint M. 6-2, 6(6)-7, 6-4
- Lost to Kalinskaya A. 6-3, 2-6, 6-3
- Lost to Minnen G. 6(5)-7, 6-4, 6-4
- Won v Paolini J. 6-2, 6-2
- Lost to Noskova L. 6-3, 7-6(5)
- Won v Siniakova K. 1-6, 6-4, 6-2
- Won v Sakkari M. 6-4, 7-5
- Won v Li A. 6-2, 6-3
- Lost to Zheng Q. 6-3, 7-6(6)
- Won v Putintseva Y. 7-6(5), 5-7, 7-5
- Lost to Gauff C. 2-6, 6-4, 6-1
- Lost to Joint M. 3-6, 6-2, 6-2
- Won v Jacquemot E. 7-6(6), 6-2
- Won v Day K. 7-6(4), 2-6, 7-6(5)
- Won v Kostyuk M. 4-6, 6-2, 7-5
- Lost to Stearns P. 7-6(7), 6-2
- Won v Fruhvirtova L. 6-2, 3-6, 6-3
- Lost to Muchova K. 4-6, 6-4, 6-2
- Won v Siniakova K. 6-1, 5-7, 6-2
Last ten results, oldest to newest; the ringed one is the latest. Tap a result for the opponent and score.
Show the matches
| Lost to | Zheng Q.Beijing · 09.10.26 | 6-3, 7-6(6) |
| Won v | Li A.Beijing · 07.10.26 | 6-2, 6-3 |
| Won v | Sakkari M.Beijing · 05.10.26 | 6-4, 7-5 |
| Won v | Siniakova K.Beijing · 03.10.26 | 1-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Lost to | Noskova L.Billie Jean King Cup · 27.09.26 | 6-3, 7-6(5) |
| Won v | Paolini J.Billie Jean King Cup · 26.09.26 | 6-2, 6-2 |
| Lost to | Minnen G.Billie Jean King Cup · 24.09.26 | 6(5)-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Lost to | Kalinskaya A.US Open · 05.09.26 | 6-3, 2-6, 6-3 |
| Won v | Joint M.US Open · 03.09.26 | 6-2, 6(6)-7, 6-4 |
| Won v | Sierra S.US Open · 31.08.26 | 6-1, 6-2 |
| Won v | Siniakova K.Wuhan · 13.10.26 | 6-1, 5-7, 6-2 |
| Lost to | Muchova K.Beijing · 04.10.26 | 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Won v | Fruhvirtova L.Beijing · 02.10.26 | 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
| Lost to | Stearns P.Guadalajara 2 WTA · 19.09.26 | 7-6(7), 6-2 |
| Won v | Kostyuk M.Guadalajara 2 WTA · 18.09.26 | 4-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| Won v | Day K.Guadalajara 2 WTA · 17.09.26 | 7-6(4), 2-6, 7-6(5) |
| Won v | Jacquemot E.Guadalajara 2 WTA · 15.09.26 | 7-6(6), 6-2 |
| Lost to | Joint M.US Open · 31.08.26 | 3-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| Lost to | Gauff C.Cincinnati WTA · 17.08.26 | 2-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| Won v | Putintseva Y.Cincinnati WTA · 14.08.26 | 7-6(5), 5-7, 7-5 |
The fifth seed against a player who went three sets on Tuesday
- Samsonova this autumn
- In Wuhan she beat Katerina Siniakova 6:1, 5:7, 6:2 on 13 October. In Beijing she lost to Karolina Muchova in three sets; in Guadalajara she reached the semi-finals.
- Season and surface
- Svitolina is 48-18 this season and 31-10 on hard courts. Samsonova is 21-24 and 15-14 on hard courts.
- Head to head
- One meeting: Svitolina won 3:6, 6:3, 6:2 in Bad Homburg in June 2026, on grass, winning the last six games.
Svitolina won their only meeting, closing with six games in a row
| Stat | Svitolina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Season record | 48-18 (better) | 21-24 |
| On hard courts | 31-10 (better) | 15-14 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| As favourite | 41-12 (better) | 16-9 |
| As underdog | 7-6 (better) | 5-15 |
| Stat | Svitolina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 60 | 43 |
| Aces per match | 3.5 (better) | 3.0 |
| Double faults per match | 3.3 (better) | 5.0 |
| 1st serve in | 60.1% (better) | 57.5% |
| 1st serve points won | 66.6% (better) | 66.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 47.4% (better) | 45.8% |
| Service games held | 72.2% (better) | 69.2% |
| Break points saved | 63.3% (better) | 56.7% |
| Stat | Svitolina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Return points won | 46.6% (better) | 42.0% |
| Return games won | 42.2% (better) | 32.2% |
| Break points converted | 50.7% (better) | 44.5% |
Form rows: 2026 season to 13 October (Tennis Explorer). Serve and return: 2026 season, official WTA stats.. We read the data from Tennis Explorer, Tennis Abstract and the WTA and ATP tours, and form our own view.
Svitolina leads 1-0
| 2026 | SvitolinaBad Homburg · Grass · R16 | 3-6 6-3 6-2 |
Who do others back in Svitolina vs Samsonova?
| Source | Their view | Versus us |
|---|---|---|
| Dimers (model) | Svitolina, 71.9% | Same side |
| String Tension (Elo model) | Svitolina, 67.9% | Same side |
| Tennis Abstract Elo | Svitolina, 74.1% | Same side |
Svitolina vs Samsonova predicted score
Svitolina in two sets
Svitolina returns better and moves better in long rallies; Samsonova relies on her first serve and played three sets the day before. We expect Svitolina to break early and win 6:4, 6:3. A 2:1 Svitolina win, as in Bad Homburg, still wins the bet.
- Predicted score
- 2:0
- 6:4, 6:3
- Alternative
- 2:1
- 4:6, 6:3, 6:3
Our Svitolina vs Samsonova pick: Elina Svitolina win
Svitolina to win the match
Svitolina is 31-10 on hard courts this season; Samsonova is 15-14. Svitolina had a first-round bye and five days off after her Beijing quarter-final, while Samsonova needed three sets to beat Katerina Siniakova on Tuesday. Svitolina also won their only meeting, in Bad Homburg in June, by taking the last six games. We expect a straight-sets win, most likely 6:4, 6:3; a three-set win also wins the bet.
- Our scenario
- 6:4, 6:32:0 in sets
- Alternative
- 4:6, 6:3, 6:32:1 in sets
What would change our mind Any news about Svitolina’s fitness before the match, or her price drifting above 1.45.
What could beat our pick?
- Svitolina lost three of her last five matches (Zheng, Minnen and Noskova).
- Samsonova took the first set off her in Bad Homburg and has already played a match on these courts.
- Svitolina withdrew before her Bad Homburg quarter-final in June.
Bet
We back Svitolina to win the match: she is 31-10 on hard courts this season, and Samsonova needed three sets to get through her first round on Tuesday.