Single · No. 105 · 17 OCTWon
Amed vs Konyaspor
- 01Amed vs KonyasporAmed win1.79 · Won
- Total odds
- 1.79
- Stake
- 2.00 units
- P&L
- +1.58 units
- Our estimate
- 51–53%
Published 17 OCT 07:1418+Play responsibly
Why this betA single on Amed to beat Konyaspor in the Süper Lig. Amed have won all four home league games this season, against Trabzonspor, Başakşehir, Beşiktaş and Erzurumspor, with 13 goals scored and three conceded. Konyaspor have scored two goals in five games, sit 16th with five points and have not won away this season. Both sides had a full week of rest and no midweek game, and the prices make Amed clear favourites.
Leg 1 · Football · Turkey · Süper Lig · 17 OCT · 14:00 UK
Amed vs Konyaspor
Amed win1.79Won
Why this pickAmed are third with 14 points and unbeaten in five league games, with 14 goals in that run, including 5:0 against Başakşehir and 3:2 against Beşiktaş at home. Over their last ten, Konyaspor failed to score in five and managed 3.4 shots on target a game against 5.9 conceded. Sports Mole picks 2:0 and the Kickoff.co.uk model gives Amed 53%. The risk: Konyaspor have kept three clean sheets in a row, and Amed are reportedly missing three players, Yira Sor among them.
- Predicted score · alt 1:1
- 2:0
- Our estimate · Amed win
- 51–53%
Form · Amed 11 from 15. Konyaspor 5 from 15.
Amed11 pts
- Drawvs Gençlerbirliği2:2
- Winvs Beşiktaş3:2
- Winvs Başakşehir5:0
- Drawvs Kasımpaşa2:2
- Winvs Trabzonspor2:1
- Goals scored per game in these matches.
- 2.80
- Goals conceded per game in these matches.
- 1.40
- Share of these matches with three or more goals.
- 100%
- Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
- 80%
Konyaspor5 pts
- Drawvs Başakşehir0:0
- Drawvs Kasımpaşa0:0
- Winvs Trabzonspor1:0
- Lossvs Erzurumspor0:1
- Lossvs Kocaelispor1:2
- Goals scored per game in these matches.
- 0.40
- Goals conceded per game in these matches.
- 0.60
- Share of these matches with three or more goals.
- 20%
- Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
- 20%
Lineups · Expected
- Amed
- OutMuhammed Hasan YıldırımMuscle injury, reported by one preview
- OutGökhan GülCalf injury, reported by one preview
- OutYira SorMuscle injury, missed four games, reported by one preview
- Konyaspor
- OutMücahit İbrahimoğluMuscle injury, reported by one preview
- OutEnis DestanKnee injury, reported by one preview
What others predict · Consensus 2 of 2
Our positionSports Mole picks 2:0, our main score. The Kickoff.co.uk model makes Amed clear favourites with 53% but names 1:1 as its single most likely score, which is the draw risk we take on. Only one preview is written by a reporter, so most of our case rests on the results and the shot numbers.
Scenario & score
Amed attack, Konyaspor try to keep it at 0:0. Amed took 16.4 shots a game over their last five and allowed 12.2; Konyaspor took 11.0 and allowed 12.4. Konyaspor's last three games ended 0:0, 0:0 and 1:0, so they defend deep and score little. We expect an early Amed goal to open the game. 2:0 is our main score and 1:1 the case that beats us. The bet wins with any Amed win and loses with a draw or a Konyaspor win.
Arguing against ourselves
- 01Konyaspor have kept three clean sheets in a row: 0:0, 0:0 and 1:0.
- 02Amed are reportedly without three players, including forward Yira Sor.
- 03Only one human preview covers the game, and there is no expected-goals data for this league.
Key factAmed are unbeaten in five league games: 2:1 against Trabzonspor, 2:2 at Kasımpaşa, 5:0 against Başakşehir, 3:2 against Beşiktaş and 2:2 at Gençlerbirliği on 10 October. That is 14 goals in five games. Over seven games they hit the target 5.1 times a game and allow 4.1. Konyaspor drew 0:0 at home with Başakşehir on 11 October and 0:0 at Kasımpaşa, beat Trabzonspor 1:0 at home, and lost 0:1 at Erzurumspor and 1:2 at home to Kocaelispor. Over ten games they failed to score in five and managed 3.4 shots on target a game against 5.9 conceded. The table (Sports Mole and KickOff agree): Amed third, 14 points, four wins, two draws, one defeat; Konyaspor 16th, five points from seven games.
Full match analysis