Amed SFK vs Konyaspor prediction and odds

No. 01 · The short versionBet

Who will win Amed vs Konyaspor?

Our Amed SFK vs Konyaspor prediction is a home win, most likely 2:0, at the Diyarbakır Stadyumu on Saturday. Amed have won all four of their home league games this season, beating Trabzonspor, Başakşehir, Beşiktaş and Erzurumspor with 13 goals scored and three conceded. Konyaspor have scored two goals in their last five games and have not won away this season. Amed are third in the Süper Lig with 14 points, Konyaspor 16th with five.

Predicted score · alt 1:1: 2:0
Our estimate: 51–53%

Amed win · odds 1.79Our estimate, not a guarantee

Why this call18+Play responsibly

Market: Amed win
Price now: 1.79

Amed vs Konyaspor at a glance

Match	Amed SFK vs Konyaspor
Competition	Süper Lig · Matchday 8
Kick-off	17 OCT · 14:00 UK · 16:00 Diyarbakır
Venue	Diyarbakır Stadyumu, Diyarbakır
Our pick	Amed win · 1.79 · bet
Our estimate	51–53%
Predicted score	2:0
Main reason	Amed have not dropped a point at home this season and beat Beşiktaş and Trabzonspor there.

No. 04 · Form

Amed vs Konyaspor: recent form

Amed 11 from 15. Konyaspor 5 from 15.

Amed11 pts

Drawvs Gençlerbirliği2:2
Winvs Beşiktaş3:2
Winvs Başakşehir5:0
Drawvs Kasımpaşa2:2
Winvs Trabzonspor2:1

: 2.80
: 1.40
: 100%
: 80%

Konyaspor5 pts

Drawvs Başakşehir0:0
Drawvs Kasımpaşa0:0
Winvs Trabzonspor1:0
Lossvs Erzurumspor0:1
Lossvs Kocaelispor1:2

: 0.40
: 0.60
: 20%
: 20%

Key factAmed are unbeaten in five league games: 2:1 against Trabzonspor, 2:2 at Kasımpaşa, 5:0 against Başakşehir, 3:2 against Beşiktaş and 2:2 at Gençlerbirliği on 10 October. That is 14 goals in five games. Over seven games they hit the target 5.1 times a game and allow 4.1. Konyaspor drew 0:0 at home with Başakşehir on 11 October and 0:0 at Kasımpaşa, beat Trabzonspor 1:0 at home, and lost 0:1 at Erzurumspor and 1:2 at home to Kocaelispor. Over ten games they failed to score in five and managed 3.4 shots on target a game against 5.9 conceded. The table (Sports Mole and KickOff agree): Amed third, 14 points, four wins, two draws, one defeat; Konyaspor 16th, five points from seven games.

No. 05 · LineupsExpected

Amed vs Konyaspor team news

Both sides reportedly missing players; no second source yet.

Amed

OutMuhammed Hasan YıldırımMuscle injury, reported by one preview
OutGökhan GülCalf injury, reported by one preview
OutYira SorMuscle injury, missed four games, reported by one preview

Konyaspor

OutMücahit İbrahimoğluMuscle injury, reported by one preview
OutEnis DestanKnee injury, reported by one preview

TacticsSports Mole reports three absences for Amed: Muhammed Hasan Yıldırım (muscle), Gökhan Gül (calf) and Yira Sor (muscle, out for the last four games). For Konyaspor it lists Mücahit İbrahimoğlu (muscle) and Enis Destan (knee). We found no second source for any of these, so we treat them as reports and do not count them for or against the pick. Amed's home results this season came with their regular attack, which is why a team sheet without two of their three first-choice forwards would change our view. Official line-ups come about an hour before kick-off.

No. 06 · What others predictConsensus 2 of 2

Who do others back in Amed vs Konyaspor?

One written preview and one model, both on Amed.

Source	Pick	Versus us
Sports Mole	Amed 2:0 Konyaspor	Same side
Kickoff.co.uk (model)	Amed 53%, draw 24%, Konyaspor 24%; expected goals 1.7 : 1.1	Same side

Our positionSports Mole picks 2:0, our main score. The Kickoff.co.uk model makes Amed clear favourites with 53% but names 1:1 as its single most likely score, which is the draw risk we take on. Only one preview is written by a reporter, so most of our case rests on the results and the shot numbers.

No. 07 · Scenario & score

Amed vs Konyaspor predicted score

Amed attack, Konyaspor try to keep it at 0:0.

Amed took 16.4 shots a game over their last five and allowed 12.2; Konyaspor took 11.0 and allowed 12.4. Konyaspor's last three games ended 0:0, 0:0 and 1:0, so they defend deep and score little. We expect an early Amed goal to open the game. 2:0 is our main score and 1:1 the case that beats us. The bet wins with any Amed win and loses with a draw or a Konyaspor win.

Predicted score: 2:0
Alternative: 1:1

Your score

AMD2

KON0

No. 08 · Why this pick wins

Our Amed vs Konyaspor pick: Amed win

Amed win: why this pick wins

Why we back it

Amed have not dropped a point at home this season and beat Beşiktaş and Trabzonspor there. Konyaspor have scored two goals in five games and land only 37% of the shots on target in their games over ten. Amed have had seven days of rest and Konyaspor six, with no midweek game for either. We see a one-way game and a 2:0.

Our probability51–53%

Our pickAmed win

Odds1.79

Main scenario2:0

Our scenario: 2:0alternative 1:1

What would change our mind A price on Amed below 1.70 after team news, or an Amed team sheet without two of their three first-choice forwards: then we would drop the pick.

Odds and break-even, for reference

Market	Odds	Break-even
Amed win	1.79	55.9%
Draw	3.54	28.2%
Konyaspor win	3.92	25.5%
Amed or draw	1.23	81.3%

Odds snapshot 17 OCT 07:19 · no bookmaker names

No. 09 · Arguing against ourselves

What could beat our pick?

Why it could end level.

Konyaspor have kept three clean sheets in a row: 0:0, 0:0 and 1:0.
Amed are reportedly without three players, including forward Yira Sor.
Only one human preview covers the game, and there is no expected-goals data for this league.

No. 10 · Editor’s call

Bet

Bet Amed win at 1.79, a single for 2 units. Amed must win; a draw loses the bet.

Market: Amed win
Odds: 1.79
Published: 17 OCT 09:14

Information only. No guarantees.18+Play responsibly

No. 11 · Update log

09:14Prediction published · Amed win at 1.79

No. 12 · After the match

We said: 2:0Bet at 1.79
Happened: 1:0Amed win

Won

FAQ

What does Bet mean?

We expect this result and play it, as a single or as one leg of a double. It is logged in the tracker at the published odds.

How do you choose a pick?

We start from the market, then check a statistical model, named previews and our own scenario test against everything that moves the result: lineups, rest, motivation, style and team news. We publish when at least three of the four agree and the pick wins in the main scorelines. A warning sign, such as a back-up goalie or tired legs, moves us to a safer market or leaves the match as analysis only.

Can a prediction change after publishing?

No. The pick, odds and time are locked when published. Updates go into the log above.

AmedvsKonyaspor Amed SFK vs Konyaspor · prediction