Single · No. 140 · 22 OCTPending
New Jersey vs Anaheim
- 01New Jersey vs AnaheimNew Jersey win · incl. OT1.50
- Total odds
- 1.50
- Stake
- 1.00 unit
- Our estimate
- 60–64%
Published 22 OCT 10:12
Odds: average of 16 popular bookmakers, 22 OCT 10:1918+Play responsibly
Odds: average of 16 popular bookmakers, 22 OCT 10:1918+Play responsibly
Why this betAn NHL single on the New Jersey Devils at home to the Anaheim Ducks, overtime included. Anaheim play their third game in four nights and their third straight on the road, after defeats at both New York teams, and are without Troy Terry.
Leg 1 · Hockey · USA · NHL · 23 OCT · 00:00 UK
New Jersey vs Anaheim
New Jersey win · incl. OT1.50
Why this pickAnaheim lost 2:5 at the Rangers on Monday and 2:3 at the Islanders on Tuesday and now play their third game in four nights, the third in a row on the road; Troy Terry is on injured reserve. New Jersey have won three of their four home games. The risk is in goal: Nico Daws is expected for New Jersey with .857 in three starts. We expect 4:2.
- Predicted score · alt 2:3
- 4:2
- Our estimate · New Jersey win · incl. OT
- 60–64%
Form · New Jersey 3-2 in their last 5. Anaheim 1-4.
New Jersey3-2
- Winvs Colorado4:3
- Lossvs Washington2:4
- Winvs NY Rangers7:1
- Winvs Detroit5:4
- Lossvs Ottawa1:4
- Goals scored per game, overtime included.
- 3.80
- Goals allowed per game, overtime included.
- 3.20
- Share of these games with six or more goals, overtime included.
- 80%
- Share of these games decided in overtime or a shootout.
- 0%
Anaheim1-4
- Lossvs NY Islanders2:3
- Lossvs NY Rangers2:5
- Lossvs Boston2:4
- Lossvs Calgary2:4
- Winvs Calgary4:2
- Goals scored per game, overtime included.
- 2.40
- Goals allowed per game, overtime included.
- 3.60
- Share of these games with six or more goals, overtime included.
- 80%
- Share of these games decided in overtime or a shootout.
- 0%
Lineups · Expected
- New Jersey
- OutNick BjugstadPectoral, injured reserve
- OutSeamus CaseyKnee, injured reserve
- Anaheim
- OutTroy TerryHip, injured reserve
- OutRyan PoehlingLower body, injured reserve
- OutIan MooreLower body, injured reserve
- DoubtJudd CaulfieldDay-to-day, personal
Scenario & score
Fresh legs at home against a tired road team. New Jersey have had a day of rest at home, while Anaheim play their third game in four nights at the end of a road trip. We expect the Devils to take control in the second and third periods, when tired legs show, and to win by two. 4:2 is our main score and 2:3 for Anaheim the way we lose. Any New Jersey win, in regulation, overtime or a shootout, takes the bet.
Arguing against ourselves
- 01Nico Daws, the expected New Jersey goalie, has saved 85.7% of shots in three starts, worse than Dostal at the other end.
- 02Anaheim score two goals a game even while losing, and one hot period can decide a hockey game.
- 03Goalies are projected, not confirmed; a late change would shift the game.
Key factNew Jersey beat Colorado 4:3 at home on Tuesday; at home they also beat Vancouver 4:1 and the Rangers 7:1 and lost 1:4 to Ottawa, and on the road they won 5:4 in Detroit and lost 2:4 in Washington. Anaheim have lost three in a row, scoring two goals in each: 2:4 to Boston at home, then 2:5 at the Rangers on Monday and 2:3 at the Islanders on Tuesday (NHL).
Full match analysis