New JerseyvsAnaheim New Jersey Devils vs Anaheim Ducks · hockey prediction
Who will win New Jersey vs Anaheim?
Our New Jersey vs Anaheim prediction is a Devils win, most likely 4:2, at the Prudential Center in Newark on Thursday night (00:00 UK, 19:00 local). Anaheim arrive tired and losing: this is their third game in four nights and their third straight road game, after defeats at the Rangers (2:5) and the Islanders (2:3), and they are without Troy Terry. New Jersey have won three of their four home games. A Devils win, overtime included, is our bet.
- Predicted score · alt 2:3
- 4:2
- Our estimate
- 60–64%
- Market
- New Jersey win · incl. OT
- Price now
- 1.50
New Jersey vs Anaheim at a glance
| Match | New Jersey Devils vs Anaheim Ducks |
|---|---|
| Competition | NHL · Regular season |
| Kick-off | 23 OCT · 00:00 UK |
| Venue | Prudential Center, Newark |
| Our pick | New Jersey win · incl. OT · 1.50 · bet |
| Our estimate | 60–64% |
| Predicted score | 4:2 |
| Main reason | We back New Jersey because the schedule is so uneven: Anaheim play their third game in four nights and their third in a row away from home, after losing to both New York teams on Monday and Tuesday. |
New Jersey vs Anaheim: recent form
New Jersey 3-2 in their last 5. Anaheim 1-4.
- New Jersey
- Beat Colorado 4:3 at home on Tue 20 Oct · one day of rest · at home
- Anaheim
- Lost 2:3 at the Islanders on Tue 20 Oct · one day of rest · third game in four nights, third straight road game
- Winvs Colorado4:3
- Lossvs Washington2:4
- Winvs NY Rangers7:1
- Winvs Detroit5:4
- Lossvs Ottawa1:4
- Goals scored per game, overtime included.
- 3.80
- Goals allowed per game, overtime included.
- 3.20
- Share of these games with six or more goals, overtime included.
- 80%
- Share of these games decided in overtime or a shootout.
- 0%
- Lossvs NY Islanders2:3
- Lossvs NY Rangers2:5
- Lossvs Boston2:4
- Lossvs Calgary2:4
- Winvs Calgary4:2
- Goals scored per game, overtime included.
- 2.40
- Goals allowed per game, overtime included.
- 3.60
- Share of these games with six or more goals, overtime included.
- 80%
- Share of these games decided in overtime or a shootout.
- 0%
New Jersey vs Anaheim: starting goalies and team news
Daws expected in the New Jersey net; Anaheim without Troy Terry.
- Save percentage: share of shots the goalie stops.
- .857
- Starts
- 3
- Save percentage: share of shots the goalie stops.
- .881
- Starts
- 7
- OutNick BjugstadPectoral, injured reserve
- OutSeamus CaseyKnee, injured reserve
- OutTroy TerryHip, injured reserve
- OutRyan PoehlingLower body, injured reserve
- OutIan MooreLower body, injured reserve
- DoubtJudd CaulfieldDay-to-day, personal
New Jersey vs Anaheim predicted score
Fresh legs at home against a tired road team.
New Jersey have had a day of rest at home, while Anaheim play their third game in four nights at the end of a road trip. We expect the Devils to take control in the second and third periods, when tired legs show, and to win by two. 4:2 is our main score and 2:3 for Anaheim the way we lose. Any New Jersey win, in regulation, overtime or a shootout, takes the bet.
- Predicted score
- 4:2
- Alternative
- 2:3
Our New Jersey vs Anaheim pick: New Jersey win · incl. OT
New Jersey win · incl. OT: why this pick wins
We back New Jersey because the schedule is so uneven: Anaheim play their third game in four nights and their third in a row away from home, after losing to both New York teams on Monday and Tuesday. New Jersey have won three of four at home and scored seven against the Rangers. The weaker goalie is the risk, which is why this is a one-unit bet.
- Our scenario
- 4:2alternative 2:3
What would change our mind If Jake Allen starts instead of Daws, our call grows stronger; if Daws is out and a call-up starts, we would drop it.
Odds and break-even, for reference
| Market | Odds | Break-even |
|---|---|---|
| New Jersey win · incl. OT | 1.50 | 66.7% |
| Anaheim win · incl. OT | 2.61 | 38.3% |
| New Jersey win in 60 min | 1.80 | 55.6% |
| Draw in 60 min | 4.60 | 21.7% |
| Anaheim win in 60 min | 3.58 | 27.9% |
Odds snapshot 22 OCT 10:19 · no bookmaker names
What could beat our pick?
Why Anaheim could still win in Newark.
- Nico Daws, the expected New Jersey goalie, has saved 85.7% of shots in three starts, worse than Dostal at the other end.
- Anaheim score two goals a game even while losing, and one hot period can decide a hockey game.
- Goalies are projected, not confirmed; a late change would shift the game.
Bet
Our bet: New Jersey win · incl. OT at 1.50, a single, one unit. We expect 4:2; Anaheim's third game in four nights decides it for us.
- Prediction published · our bet: New Jersey win · incl. OT at 1.50
After full time this ticket shows what we said next to what happened. The record goes to the public tracker automatically.
Read next
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- TrackerEvery bet in one table
FAQ
What does Bet mean?
We expect this result and play it, as a single or as one leg of a double. It is logged in the tracker at the published odds.
How do you choose a pick?
We start from the market, then check a statistical model, named previews and our own scenario test against everything that moves the result: lineups, rest, motivation, style and team news. We publish when at least three of the four agree and the pick wins in the main scorelines. A warning sign, such as a back-up goalie or tired legs, moves us to a safer market or leaves the match as analysis only.
Can a prediction change after publishing?
No. The pick, odds and time are locked when published. Updates go into the log above.