Single · No. 138 · 22 OCTPending
Maccabi vs Real Madrid
- 01Maccabi vs Real MadridReal Madrid win1.51
- Total odds
- 1.51
- Stake
- 1.00 unit
- Our estimate
- 60–66%
Published 22 OCT 09:20
Odds: average of 24 popular bookmakers, 22 OCT 09:3818+Play responsibly
Odds: average of 24 popular bookmakers, 22 OCT 09:3818+Play responsibly
Why this betA EuroLeague single on Real Madrid away to Maccabi Tel Aviv, who play their home games in Belgrade and have just lost Iffe Lundberg, their third man by minutes, for six to eight weeks. Real are 3-3 and have won three in a row; Maccabi are 2-4.
Leg 1 · Basketball · Europe · EuroLeague · 22 OCT · 19:05 UK
Maccabi vs Real Madrid
Real Madrid win1.51
Why this pickMaccabi host their EuroLeague games in Belgrade, so their home edge is smaller than a real home court; without it our card gives Real 68%. Maccabi have just lost Iffe Lundberg, third in their rotation by minutes, for six to eight weeks (Eurohoops). Real have won three in a row. We expect 82:88.
- Predicted score · alt 82:84
- 82:88
- Our estimate · Real Madrid win
- 60–66%
Form · Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-3 in their last 5. Real Madrid 3-2.
Maccabi Tel Aviv2-3
- Winvs Valencia91:88
- Lossvs Barcelona87:90
- Winvs Olimpia Milano97:79
- Lossvs Panathinaikos67:90
- Lossvs Beşiktaş93:109
- Points scored per game in these games.
- 87.0
- Points allowed per game in these games.
- 91.2
- Average combined score of both teams: a guide for over/under totals.
- 178.2
- Average points difference. Plus means they win by that much on average, minus that they lose by it.
- −4.2
Real Madrid3-2
- Winvs ASVEL111:92
- Winvs Olimpia Milano98:89
- Winvs Partizan86:76
- Lossvs Hapoel Tel Aviv98:102
- Lossvs Anadolu Efes84:94
- 95.4
- Points allowed per game in these games.
- 90.6
- Average combined score of both teams: a guide for over/under totals.
- 186.0
- Average points difference. Plus means they win by that much on average, minus that they lose by it.
- +4.8
Lineups · Expected
- Maccabi Tel Aviv
- OutIffe LundbergInjury, out for 6 to 8 weeks
- Real Madrid
- No absences reported.
What others predict · Consensus 1 of 1
Our positionWe agree on the winner and expect a smaller margin, six points. Our rating says Real by 1.7 if Maccabi get a full home advantage, and by 5.5 on a neutral court; a Maccabi home game in Belgrade sits between the two, and the line, at Real 62.7%, sits there too.
Scenario & score
Tavares inside, Maledon running the game. 82:88 to Real Madrid is our main score: Walter Tavares controls the paint, Maledon and Campazzo run the game, and Maccabi, without Lundberg, run short of shooting late on. 82:84 to Real is the alternative: Madar and Hoard keep Maccabi level until the final minutes and Real win a close one. The way Maccabi win is the 92:91 of a year ago in this hall: a hot shooting night and a Real side that loses the ball late, as in their defeats to Hapoel and Efes. Any Real win makes our pick, overtime included.
Arguing against ourselves
- 01Real Madrid have already lost three away games this season, in Dubai, at Efes and to Hapoel.
- 02Maccabi beat Real 92:91 in this same hall a year ago, on 22 October 2025.
- 03Our rating gives Real only 56% if Maccabi get the full home advantage of a EuroLeague arena.
- 04No official injury report for round 7 was out when we checked, so Real's lineup is not confirmed.
Key factReal Madrid lost their first three games, 77:78 in Dubai, 84:94 at Anadolu Efes and 98:102 to Hapoel, then won three in a row: 86:76 against Partizan, 98:89 at Olimpia Milano and 111:92 against ASVEL. Maccabi have beaten Olimpia Milano 97:79 and won 91:88 at Valencia last week, but lost 67:90 at Panathinaikos and 93:109 to Beşiktaş in Belgrade. Last season Real went 24-14 and Maccabi 18-20; exactly a year ago, in the same hall, Maccabi beat Real 92:91.
Full match analysis