ENES
Join the club
Tennis · WTA · Ningbo Open, Ningbo · WTA 500 · First round · Hard

Marie BouzkovavsKamilla Rakhimova prediction · Ningbo Open 2026

Date
19 OCT
Court
Grandstand
Order of play
Fourth match on court, after Kasatkina v Sasnovich (not before 4:00 PM), not before 17:30 local (10:30 UK)
Status
6:4 6:4
No. 01 · The short versionBet

Who will win Bouzkova vs Rakhimova?

Marie Bouzkova plays the qualifier Kamilla Rakhimova in the first round of the Ningbo Open on Monday. We back Bouzkova to win the match, most likely 6:4, 6:3.

Predicted score
2:0
Our estimate
68–71%
Why we back it18+Play responsibly
Our pick
Marie Bouzkova win
Odds at publish
1.36
Set by set
6:4, 6:3
Not before (UK)
10:30

Bouzkova vs Rakhimova at a glance

MatchMarie Bouzkova vs Kamilla Rakhimova
TournamentWTA · Ningbo Open, Ningbo · First round
SurfaceHard
Start19 OCT · 10:30 UK · 17:30 local
CourtGrandstand · Fourth match on court, after Kasatkina v Sasnovich (not before 4:00 PM)
Our pickMarie Bouzkova win · 1.36 · bet
Our estimate68–71%
Predicted score2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Main reasonMarie Bouzkova is ranked 28 and is 31-8 this season when the market makes her the favourite.
No. 02 · Form

Bouzkova vs Rakhimova: recent form

Rakhimova won two qualifying rounds in Ningbo; Bouzkova lost to Chwalinska in Wuhan after winning the first set 6:1

Marie BouzkovaLast 10: 6-4
  1. Won v Jovic I. 7-6(0), 7-6(5)
  2. Lost to Gauff C. 6-3, 6-2
  3. Won v Jacquemot E. 6-2, 6-2
  4. Won v Dart H. 6-2, 6-2
  5. Lost to Swiatek I. 7-6(3), 7-6(3)
  6. Won v Kartal S. 7-6(2), 4-6, 6-4
  7. Won v Birrell K. 6-4, 6-4
  8. Lost to Zheng Q. 7-6(3), 4-6, 7-5
  9. Won v Tauson C. 6-1, 2-0 ret.
  10. Lost to Chwalinska M. 1-6, 6-1, 6-1
Kamilla RakhimovaLast 10: 6-4
  1. Lost to Sabalenka A. 6-3, 6-4
  2. Won v Kudermetova P. 7-6(4), 4-6, 7-5
  3. Lost to Volynets K. 6-3, 6-0
  4. Won v Bassols Ribera M. 6-4, 7-6(2)
  5. Won v Fernandez L. 6-2, 4-6, 6-3
  6. Lost to Jovic I. 6-1, 7-5
  7. Won v Kenin S. 6-0, 6-3
  8. Lost to Shi H. 7-6(2), 6-1
  9. Won v Yastremska D. 6-2, 6-4
  10. Won v Prozorova T. 7-6(4), 4-6, 6-4

Last ten results, oldest to newest; the ringed one is the latest. Tap a result for the opponent and score.

Show the matches
Marie Bouzkova
Lost toChwalinska M.Wuhan · 14.10.261-6, 6-1, 6-1
Won vTauson C.Wuhan · 12.10.266-1, 2-0 ret.
Lost toZheng Q.Beijing · 05.10.267-6(3), 4-6, 7-5
Won vBirrell K.Beijing · 03.10.266-4, 6-4
Won vKartal S.Billie Jean King Cup · 22.09.267-6(2), 4-6, 6-4
Lost toSwiatek I.US Open · 05.09.267-6(3), 7-6(3)
Won vDart H.US Open · 03.09.266-2, 6-2
Won vJacquemot E.US Open · 31.08.266-2, 6-2
Lost toGauff C.Cincinnati WTA · 20.08.266-3, 6-2
Won vJovic I.Cincinnati WTA · 19.08.267-6(0), 7-6(5)
Kamilla Rakhimova
Won vProzorova T.Ningbo WTA · 18.10.267-6(4), 4-6, 6-4
Won vYastremska D.Ningbo WTA · 17.10.266-2, 6-4
Lost toShi H.Wuhan · 11.10.267-6(2), 6-1
Won vKenin S.Wuhan · 10.10.266-0, 6-3
Lost toJovic I.Beijing · 05.10.266-1, 7-5
Won vFernandez L.Beijing · 03.10.266-2, 4-6, 6-3
Won vBassols Ribera M.Beijing · 01.10.266-4, 7-6(2)
Lost toVolynets K.Seoul WTA · 23.09.266-3, 6-0
Won vKudermetova P.Seoul WTA · 21.09.267-6(4), 4-6, 7-5
Lost toSabalenka A.US Open · 04.09.266-3, 6-4
Bouzkova this autumnIn Beijing she beat Kristina Birrell 6:4, 6:4, then lost to Qinwen Zheng 6:7(3), 6:4, 5:7. In Wuhan she beat Clara Tauson, who retired at 6:1, 2:0, and then lost to Maja Chwalinska 6:1, 1:6, 1:6.
No. 03 · Context

The world No. 28 against a qualifier she has beaten twice, in the first round in Ningbo

Rakhimova this autumn
In Beijing she beat Leylah Fernandez 6:2, 4:6, 6:3 before losing to Iva Jovic. In Wuhan qualifying she beat Sofia Kenin 6:0, 6:3 and lost to Han Shi. In Ningbo qualifying she beat Dayana Yastremska 6:2, 6:4 and Tatiana Prozorova 7:6(4), 4:6, 6:4.
Season and surface
Bouzkova is 34-22 this season and 14-15 on hard courts. Rakhimova is 27-28 and 22-19 on hard courts. Rakhimova has played for Uzbekistan since the start of 2026.
Head to head
Bouzkova won both meetings in 2024: the Bogota semi-final on clay, 6:4, 7:6, and the Jiujiang quarter-final on a hard court, 6:2, 6:2.
Load
Bouzkova last played five days ago. Rakhimova has been on court two days in a row and played five sets in qualifying.
No. 04 · Stats comparison

Bouzkova holds 70.3% of her service games this season, Rakhimova 60.8%

StatBouzkovaRakhimova
Season record34-22 (better)27-28
On hard courts14-1522-19 (better)
Last 10 matches6-46-4
As favourite31-8 (better)17-9
As underdog3-1410-19 (better)
StatBouzkovaRakhimova
Matches4932
Aces per match1.6 (better)1.5
Double faults per match3.3 (better)5.3
1st serve in68.5% (better)57.4%
1st serve points won64.7% (better)61.7%
2nd serve points won45.8% (better)43.8%
Service games held70.3% (better)60.8%
Break points saved58.7% (better)53.0%
StatBouzkovaRakhimova
Return points won44.7%45.0% (better)
Return games won36.7%38.1% (better)
Break points converted44.3%50.6% (better)

Form rows: 2026 season to 18 October (Tennis Explorer). Serve and return: 2026 season, official WTA stats.. We read the data from Tennis Explorer, Tennis Abstract and the WTA and ATP tours, and form our own view.

No. 05 · Head to head2 meetings

Bouzkova leads 2-0

2024BouzkovaJiujiang · Hard · QF6-2 6-2
2024BouzkovaBogota · Clay · SF6-4 7-6(2)
No. 06 · What others predictConsensus 4 of 5

Who do others back in Bouzkova vs Rakhimova?

SourceTheir viewVersus us
DimersBouzkova, 70%Same side
Tennis TonicBouzkova in two setsSame side
The Stats ZoneBouzkova 2:0Same side
Last Word On TennisRakhimova in three setsOther side
Tennis Abstract EloBouzkova, 63.8%Same side
Our position4 of 5 back Bouzkova. We are on Bouzkova’s side.
No. 07 · Scenario & score

Bouzkova vs Rakhimova predicted score

Bouzkova in two sets

Bouzkova puts 68.5% of her first serves in and holds 70.3% of her service games; Rakhimova lands 57.4% and holds 60.8%, so most breaks should go Bouzkova’s way. Rakhimova returns well (38.1% of return games won), which keeps the sets close. We expect 6:4, 6:3. A 2:1 Bouzkova win still wins the bet.

Predicted score
2:0
6:4, 6:3
Alternative
1:2
6:4, 3:6, 4:6
No. 08 · Why this pick wins

Our Bouzkova vs Rakhimova pick: Marie Bouzkova win

Bouzkova to win the match

Why we back it

Marie Bouzkova is ranked 28 and is 31-8 this season when the market makes her the favourite. Kamilla Rakhimova, ranked 69, came through two rounds of qualifying in Ningbo, the second one yesterday in three sets against Tatiana Prozorova, so she plays on a third straight day. Bouzkova holds 70.3% of her service games this season against Rakhimova’s 60.8%, and Rakhimova serves 5.3 double faults a match. Bouzkova won both of their meetings in 2024 in straight sets. Dimers, Tennis Tonic and The Stats Zone back Bouzkova. We expect 6:4, 6:3; a win in three sets also wins the bet.

Our probability68–71%
Our pickMarie Bouzkova win
Odds1.36
Main scenario2:0
Our scenario
6:4, 6:32:0 in sets
Alternative
6:4, 3:6, 4:61:2 in sets

What would change our mind Any news about Bouzkova’s fitness before the match, or her price moving above 1.45.

No. 09 · Arguing against ourselves

What could beat our pick?

  1. Our fresh Elo rating gives Bouzkova only 59.3%, well below what the market sees.
  2. Bouzkova is 14-15 on hard courts this season and lost her last match 6:1, 1:6, 1:6.
  3. Rakhimova has already won two matches on these courts this week and beat Leylah Fernandez in Beijing this month; Last Word On Tennis picks her.
No. 10 · Our call

Bet

We back Bouzkova to win the match: she is 31-8 as a favourite this season and beat Rakhimova twice in 2024 without dropping a set.

Bet
Marie Bouzkova win
Odds at publish
1.36 · 19 OCT 05:59 UK
Information only. No guarantees.18+Play responsibly