Diane ParryvsAlexandra Eala prediction · Ningbo Open 2026
Who will win Parry vs Eala?
Diane Parry plays Alexandra Eala in the first round of the Ningbo Open on Monday evening. We back Eala to win the match, most likely 6:3, 6:4.
- Predicted score
- 0:2
- Our estimate
- 72–74%
- Our pick
- Alexandra Eala win
- Odds at publish
- 1.30
- Set by set
- 3:6, 4:6
- Not before (UK)
- 12:30
Parry vs Eala at a glance
| Match | Diane Parry vs Alexandra Eala |
|---|---|
| Tournament | WTA · Ningbo Open, Ningbo · First round |
| Surface | Hard |
| Start | 19 OCT · 12:30 UK · 19:30 local |
| Court | Center Court · After the opening ceremony (not before 7:30 PM) |
| Our pick | Alexandra Eala win · 1.30 · bet |
| Our estimate | 72–74% |
| Predicted score | 0:2 (3:6, 4:6) |
| Main reason | Alexandra Eala is ranked 19 and is 29-6 as a favourite this season, 27-14 on hard courts. |
Parry vs Eala: recent form
Parry has lost four in a row in straight sets; Eala lost her last two matches in three sets
- Won v Vekic D. 6(5)-7, 6-4, 6-1
- Won v Oliynykova O. 6-4, 7-6(3)
- Won v Tauson C. 6-3, 7-5
- Won v Li A. 7-6(7), 6-4
- Won v Mertens E. 6-4, 0-6, 6-3
- Won v Golubic V. 7-5, 6-4
- Lost to Cirstea S. 6-2, 7-5
- Lost to Stearns P. 6-2, 7-5
- Lost to Preston T. 7-6(4), 6-1
- Lost to Tararudee L. 6-4, 6-1
- Won v Ruse E. 6-1, 3-0 ret.
- Lost to Anisimova A. 4-6, 6-4, 6-2
- Won v Stoiana M. 6-1, 6-2
- Won v Oliynykova O. 6-1, 6-4
- Lost to Jovic I. 7-5, 3-6, 7-5
- Lost to Prozorova T. 4-6, 7-5, 6-3
- Won v Cheapchandej P. 6-1, 6-0
- Won v Garland J. 7-5, 6-0
- Lost to Wang X. 3-6, 6-3, 6-2
- Lost to Shi H. 4-6, 6-3, 6-3
Last ten results, oldest to newest; the ringed one is the latest. Tap a result for the opponent and score.
Show the matches
| Lost to | Tararudee L.Wuhan · 12.10.26 | 6-4, 6-1 |
| Lost to | Preston T.Beijing · 02.10.26 | 7-6(4), 6-1 |
| Lost to | Stearns P.Guadalajara 2 WTA · 16.09.26 | 6-2, 7-5 |
| Lost to | Cirstea S.US Open · 02.09.26 | 6-2, 7-5 |
| Won v | Golubic V.US Open · 31.08.26 | 7-5, 6-4 |
| Won v | Mertens E.Monterrey · 30.08.26 | 6-4, 0-6, 6-3 |
| Won v | Li A.Monterrey · 29.08.26 | 7-6(7), 6-4 |
| Won v | Tauson C.Monterrey · 28.08.26 | 6-3, 7-5 |
| Won v | Oliynykova O.Monterrey · 26.08.26 | 6-4, 7-6(3) |
| Won v | Vekic D.Monterrey · 25.08.26 | 6(5)-7, 6-4, 6-1 |
| Lost to | Shi H.Wuhan · 12.10.26 | 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| Lost to | Wang X.Asian Games · 01.10.26 | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| Won v | Garland J.Asian Games · 30.09.26 | 7-5, 6-0 |
| Won v | Cheapchandej P.Asian Games · 29.09.26 | 6-1, 6-0 |
| Lost to | Prozorova T.Singapore WTA · 24.09.26 | 4-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| Lost to | Jovic I.US Open · 06.09.26 | 7-5, 3-6, 7-5 |
| Won v | Oliynykova O.US Open · 03.09.26 | 6-1, 6-4 |
| Won v | Stoiana M.US Open · 02.09.26 | 6-1, 6-2 |
| Lost to | Anisimova A.Cincinnati WTA · 18.08.26 | 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Won v | Ruse E.Cincinnati WTA · 15.08.26 | 6-1, 3-0 ret. |
The Filipino No. 19 against France’s No. 32 in their first meeting, in the first round in Ningbo
- Parry since Monterrey
- She won the Monterrey title on 30 August, beating Elise Mertens 6:4, 0:6, 6:3 in the final. Since then she beat Viktorija Golubic at the US Open and lost to Sorana Cirstea, Peyton Stearns, Taylor Preston and Lanlana Tararudee, the last two 6:7(4), 1:6 and 4:6, 1:6.
- Season and surface
- Eala is 43-24 this season and 27-14 on hard courts. Parry is 32-23 and 18-14 on hard courts; she is 18-9 as an underdog.
- Head to head
- This is their first meeting.
- Motivation
- Eala wants a deep run to finish the season in the top 20 (Last Word On Tennis). Both players have had seven days of rest.
Eala wins 37.3% of her return games this season, Parry 28.8%
| Stat | Parry | Eala |
|---|---|---|
| Season record | 32-23 | 43-24 (better) |
| On hard courts | 18-14 | 27-14 (better) |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 (better) | 5-5 |
| As favourite | 14-13 | 29-6 (better) |
| As underdog | 18-9 (better) | 12-17 |
| Stat | Parry | Eala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 33 | 55 |
| Aces per match | 4.2 (better) | 1.3 |
| Double faults per match | 3.4 | 2.8 (better) |
| 1st serve in | 57.6% | 62.8% (better) |
| 1st serve points won | 69.0% (better) | 62.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 44.7% | 47.8% (better) |
| Service games held | 71.1% (better) | 66.8% |
| Break points saved | 59.3% (better) | 54.8% |
| Stat | Parry | Eala |
|---|---|---|
| Return points won | 40.5% | 44.5% (better) |
| Return games won | 28.8% | 37.3% (better) |
| Break points converted | 41.4% | 42.6% (better) |
Form rows: 2026 season to 18 October (Tennis Explorer). Serve and return: 2026 season, official WTA stats.. We read the data from Tennis Explorer, Tennis Abstract and the WTA and ATP tours, and form our own view.
First meeting
Who do others back in Parry vs Eala?
| Source | Their view | Versus us |
|---|---|---|
| Dimers | Eala, 74% | Same side |
| Tennis Tonic | Eala in two sets | Same side |
| Last Word On Tennis | Eala in three sets | Same side |
| Tennis Abstract Elo | Eala, 71.8% | Same side |
Parry vs Eala predicted score
Eala in two sets
Parry serves better on paper (71.1% of service games held against 66.8%, 4.2 aces a match against 1.3), but Eala is the far stronger returner: 44.5% of return points won against 40.5%. Parry’s slice and changes of pace have not worked against heavy baseline hitters lately. We expect 6:3, 6:4 for Eala. A 2:1 Eala win still wins the bet.
- Predicted score
- 0:2
- 3:6, 4:6
- Alternative
- 1:2
- 6:4, 3:6, 3:6
Our Parry vs Eala pick: Alexandra Eala win
Eala to win the match
Alexandra Eala is ranked 19 and is 29-6 as a favourite this season, 27-14 on hard courts. Diane Parry won the Monterrey title at the end of August and has lost her last four matches, all in straight sets. Eala wins 37.3% of her return games this season against Parry’s 28.8%, and Parry is 14-13 when she starts as the favourite. Elo and the market agree at about 72% for Eala, and Dimers, Tennis Tonic and Last Word On Tennis all pick her. We expect 6:3, 6:4 for Eala; a win in three sets also wins the bet.
- Our scenario
- 3:6, 4:60:2 in sets
- Alternative
- 6:4, 3:6, 3:61:2 in sets
What would change our mind Any news about Eala’s fitness before the match, or her price moving above 1.45.
What could beat our pick?
- Eala has lost three of her last five matches, twice as a heavy favourite (Han Shi in Wuhan, Tatiana Prozorova in Singapore).
- Parry is 18-9 as an underdog this season; Tennis Tonic counts seven wins over top-30 players.
- Parry holds serve more often this season, 71.1% against 66.8%.
Bet
We back Eala to win the match: Parry has lost her last four matches, all in straight sets, and Eala wins far more return games.