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Tennis · WTA · Ningbo Open, Ningbo · WTA 500 · First round · Hard

Diane ParryvsAlexandra Eala prediction · Ningbo Open 2026

Date
19 OCT
Court
Center Court
Order of play
After the opening ceremony (not before 7:30 PM), not before 19:30 local (12:30 UK)
Status
3:6 1:6
No. 01 · The short versionBet

Who will win Parry vs Eala?

Diane Parry plays Alexandra Eala in the first round of the Ningbo Open on Monday evening. We back Eala to win the match, most likely 6:3, 6:4.

Predicted score
0:2
Our estimate
72–74%
Our pick
Alexandra Eala win
Odds at publish
1.30
Set by set
3:6, 4:6
Not before (UK)
12:30

Parry vs Eala at a glance

MatchDiane Parry vs Alexandra Eala
TournamentWTA · Ningbo Open, Ningbo · First round
SurfaceHard
Start19 OCT · 12:30 UK · 19:30 local
CourtCenter Court · After the opening ceremony (not before 7:30 PM)
Our pickAlexandra Eala win · 1.30 · bet
Our estimate72–74%
Predicted score0:2 (3:6, 4:6)
Main reasonAlexandra Eala is ranked 19 and is 29-6 as a favourite this season, 27-14 on hard courts.
No. 02 · Form

Parry vs Eala: recent form

Parry has lost four in a row in straight sets; Eala lost her last two matches in three sets

Diane ParryLast 10: 6-4
  1. Won v Vekic D. 6(5)-7, 6-4, 6-1
  2. Won v Oliynykova O. 6-4, 7-6(3)
  3. Won v Tauson C. 6-3, 7-5
  4. Won v Li A. 7-6(7), 6-4
  5. Won v Mertens E. 6-4, 0-6, 6-3
  6. Won v Golubic V. 7-5, 6-4
  7. Lost to Cirstea S. 6-2, 7-5
  8. Lost to Stearns P. 6-2, 7-5
  9. Lost to Preston T. 7-6(4), 6-1
  10. Lost to Tararudee L. 6-4, 6-1
Alexandra EalaLast 10: 5-5
  1. Won v Ruse E. 6-1, 3-0 ret.
  2. Lost to Anisimova A. 4-6, 6-4, 6-2
  3. Won v Stoiana M. 6-1, 6-2
  4. Won v Oliynykova O. 6-1, 6-4
  5. Lost to Jovic I. 7-5, 3-6, 7-5
  6. Lost to Prozorova T. 4-6, 7-5, 6-3
  7. Won v Cheapchandej P. 6-1, 6-0
  8. Won v Garland J. 7-5, 6-0
  9. Lost to Wang X. 3-6, 6-3, 6-2
  10. Lost to Shi H. 4-6, 6-3, 6-3

Last ten results, oldest to newest; the ringed one is the latest. Tap a result for the opponent and score.

Show the matches
Diane Parry
Lost toTararudee L.Wuhan · 12.10.266-4, 6-1
Lost toPreston T.Beijing · 02.10.267-6(4), 6-1
Lost toStearns P.Guadalajara 2 WTA · 16.09.266-2, 7-5
Lost toCirstea S.US Open · 02.09.266-2, 7-5
Won vGolubic V.US Open · 31.08.267-5, 6-4
Won vMertens E.Monterrey · 30.08.266-4, 0-6, 6-3
Won vLi A.Monterrey · 29.08.267-6(7), 6-4
Won vTauson C.Monterrey · 28.08.266-3, 7-5
Won vOliynykova O.Monterrey · 26.08.266-4, 7-6(3)
Won vVekic D.Monterrey · 25.08.266(5)-7, 6-4, 6-1
Alexandra Eala
Lost toShi H.Wuhan · 12.10.264-6, 6-3, 6-3
Lost toWang X.Asian Games · 01.10.263-6, 6-3, 6-2
Won vGarland J.Asian Games · 30.09.267-5, 6-0
Won vCheapchandej P.Asian Games · 29.09.266-1, 6-0
Lost toProzorova T.Singapore WTA · 24.09.264-6, 7-5, 6-3
Lost toJovic I.US Open · 06.09.267-5, 3-6, 7-5
Won vOliynykova O.US Open · 03.09.266-1, 6-4
Won vStoiana M.US Open · 02.09.266-1, 6-2
Lost toAnisimova A.Cincinnati WTA · 18.08.264-6, 6-4, 6-2
Won vRuse E.Cincinnati WTA · 15.08.266-1, 3-0 ret.
Eala this autumnAt the Asian Games she beat Punnin Cheapchandej 6:1, 6:0 and Joanna Garland 7:5, 6:0, then lost the semi-final to Xiyu Wang 6:3, 3:6, 2:6. In Wuhan she lost her first match to Han Shi 6:4, 3:6, 3:6.
No. 03 · Context

The Filipino No. 19 against France’s No. 32 in their first meeting, in the first round in Ningbo

Parry since Monterrey
She won the Monterrey title on 30 August, beating Elise Mertens 6:4, 0:6, 6:3 in the final. Since then she beat Viktorija Golubic at the US Open and lost to Sorana Cirstea, Peyton Stearns, Taylor Preston and Lanlana Tararudee, the last two 6:7(4), 1:6 and 4:6, 1:6.
Season and surface
Eala is 43-24 this season and 27-14 on hard courts. Parry is 32-23 and 18-14 on hard courts; she is 18-9 as an underdog.
Head to head
This is their first meeting.
Motivation
Eala wants a deep run to finish the season in the top 20 (Last Word On Tennis). Both players have had seven days of rest.
No. 04 · Stats comparison

Eala wins 37.3% of her return games this season, Parry 28.8%

StatParryEala
Season record32-2343-24 (better)
On hard courts18-1427-14 (better)
Last 10 matches6-4 (better)5-5
As favourite14-1329-6 (better)
As underdog18-9 (better)12-17
StatParryEala
Matches3355
Aces per match4.2 (better)1.3
Double faults per match3.42.8 (better)
1st serve in57.6%62.8% (better)
1st serve points won69.0% (better)62.4%
2nd serve points won44.7%47.8% (better)
Service games held71.1% (better)66.8%
Break points saved59.3% (better)54.8%
StatParryEala
Return points won40.5%44.5% (better)
Return games won28.8%37.3% (better)
Break points converted41.4%42.6% (better)

Form rows: 2026 season to 18 October (Tennis Explorer). Serve and return: 2026 season, official WTA stats.. We read the data from Tennis Explorer, Tennis Abstract and the WTA and ATP tours, and form our own view.

No. 05 · Head to headFirst meeting.

First meeting

No. 06 · What others predictConsensus 4 of 4

Who do others back in Parry vs Eala?

SourceTheir viewVersus us
DimersEala, 74%Same side
Tennis TonicEala in two setsSame side
Last Word On TennisEala in three setsSame side
Tennis Abstract EloEala, 71.8%Same side
Our position4 of 4 back Eala. We are on Eala’s side.
No. 07 · Scenario & score

Parry vs Eala predicted score

Eala in two sets

Parry serves better on paper (71.1% of service games held against 66.8%, 4.2 aces a match against 1.3), but Eala is the far stronger returner: 44.5% of return points won against 40.5%. Parry’s slice and changes of pace have not worked against heavy baseline hitters lately. We expect 6:3, 6:4 for Eala. A 2:1 Eala win still wins the bet.

Predicted score
0:2
3:6, 4:6
Alternative
1:2
6:4, 3:6, 3:6
No. 08 · Why this pick wins

Our Parry vs Eala pick: Alexandra Eala win

Eala to win the match

Why we back it

Alexandra Eala is ranked 19 and is 29-6 as a favourite this season, 27-14 on hard courts. Diane Parry won the Monterrey title at the end of August and has lost her last four matches, all in straight sets. Eala wins 37.3% of her return games this season against Parry’s 28.8%, and Parry is 14-13 when she starts as the favourite. Elo and the market agree at about 72% for Eala, and Dimers, Tennis Tonic and Last Word On Tennis all pick her. We expect 6:3, 6:4 for Eala; a win in three sets also wins the bet.

Our probability72–74%
Our pickAlexandra Eala win
Odds1.30
Main scenario0:2
Our scenario
3:6, 4:60:2 in sets
Alternative
6:4, 3:6, 3:61:2 in sets

What would change our mind Any news about Eala’s fitness before the match, or her price moving above 1.45.

No. 09 · Arguing against ourselves

What could beat our pick?

  1. Eala has lost three of her last five matches, twice as a heavy favourite (Han Shi in Wuhan, Tatiana Prozorova in Singapore).
  2. Parry is 18-9 as an underdog this season; Tennis Tonic counts seven wins over top-30 players.
  3. Parry holds serve more often this season, 71.1% against 66.8%.
No. 10 · Our call

Bet

We back Eala to win the match: Parry has lost her last four matches, all in straight sets, and Eala wins far more return games.

Bet
Alexandra Eala win
Odds at publish
1.30 · 19 OCT 05:59 UK
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