Muchova is 10-0 in tiebreaks. Shnaider beat her without needing one
Our take The last seat is now Swiatek's to take
Tennis · WTA · Wuhan Open, Wuhan · WTA 1000 · Second round · Hard
Yulia PutintsevavsDiana Shnaider prediction · Wuhan Open 2026
Date
14 OCT
Court
Court 3
Order of play
Second match on court, after Bouzkova v Chwalinska, not before 11:00 local (04:00 UK)
Status
2:6 2:6
PUT04:00 UKSHNIn our bets
No. 01 · The short versionBet
Who will win Putintseva vs Shnaider?
Diana Shnaider, the 11th seed, plays qualifier Yulia Putintseva in the Wuhan Open second round on Wednesday. We back Shnaider to win the match, most likely 6:3, 6:4.
- Predicted score
- 0:2
- Our estimate
- 70–73%
- Our pick
- Diana Shnaider win
- Odds at publish
- 1.33
- Set by set
- 3:6, 4:6
- Not before (UK)
- 04:00
Putintseva vs Shnaider at a glance
| Match | Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider |
|---|---|
| Tournament | WTA · Wuhan Open, Wuhan · Second round |
| Surface | Hard |
| Start | 14 OCT · 04:00 UK · 11:00 local |
| Court | Court 3 · Second match on court, after Bouzkova v Chwalinska |
| Our pick | Diana Shnaider win · 1.33 · bet |
| Our estimate | 70–73% |
| Predicted score | 0:2 (3:6, 4:6) |
| Main reason | Shnaider beat Katie Boulter 6:3, 6:1 on Tuesday. |
No. 02 · Form
Putintseva vs Shnaider: recent form
Shnaider lost four games on Tuesday; Putintseva played for 2 hours 51 minutes
Yulia PutintsevaLast 10: 8-2
- Won v Bencic B. 4-6, 7-5, 6-3
- Lost to Zheng Q. 6-4, 2-6, 6-1
- Won v Bucsa C. 6-2, 3-6, 6-1
- Won v Suhail U. 6-1, 6-0
- Won v Yang Y. 6-3, 6-1
- Won v Sawangkaew M. 6-3, 6-0
- Lost to Zhang S. 6-4, 6-2
- Won v Ruse E. 7-5, 2-1 ret.
- Won v Krueger A. 6-1, 6-3
- Won v Sonmez Z. 6(1)-7, 6-3, 7-5
Diana ShnaiderLast 10: 6-4
- Lost to Swiatek I. 6-2, 6-1
- Won v Maria T. 6-2, 7-5
- Won v Chwalinska M. 6-2, 7-6(3)
- Lost to Rybakina E. 6-4, 6-4
- Won v Snigur D. 6-0, 6-4
- Won v Pliskova K. 6-1, 7-6(4)
- Lost to Townsend T. 6-2, 6(3)-7, 6-3
- Won v Tjen J. 6-0, 6-4
- Lost to Alexandrova E. 3-6, 6-4, 6-3
- Won v Boulter K. 6-3, 6-1
Last ten results, oldest to newest; the ringed one is the latest. Tap a result for the opponent and score.
Show the matches
| Won v | Sonmez Z.Wuhan · 13.10.26 | 6(1)-7, 6-3, 7-5 |
| Won v | Krueger A.Wuhan · 11.10.26 | 6-1, 6-3 |
| Won v | Ruse E.Wuhan · 10.10.26 | 7-5, 2-1 ret. |
| Lost to | Zhang S.Asian Games · 01.10.26 | 6-4, 6-2 |
| Won v | Sawangkaew M.Asian Games · 30.09.26 | 6-3, 6-0 |
| Won v | Yang Y.Asian Games · 29.09.26 | 6-3, 6-1 |
| Won v | Suhail U.Asian Games · 27.09.26 | 6-1, 6-0 |
| Won v | Bucsa C.Billie Jean King Cup · 23.09.26 | 6-2, 3-6, 6-1 |
| Lost to | Zheng Q.US Open · 03.09.26 | 6-4, 2-6, 6-1 |
| Won v | Bencic B.US Open · 01.09.26 | 4-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| Won v | Boulter K.Wuhan · 13.10.26 | 6-3, 6-1 |
| Lost to | Alexandrova E.Beijing · 04.10.26 | 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Won v | Tjen J.Beijing · 02.10.26 | 6-0, 6-4 |
| Lost to | Townsend T.US Open · 04.09.26 | 6-2, 6(3)-7, 6-3 |
| Won v | Pliskova K.US Open · 02.09.26 | 6-1, 7-6(4) |
| Won v | Snigur D.US Open · 31.08.26 | 6-0, 6-4 |
| Lost to | Rybakina E.Cincinnati WTA · 19.08.26 | 6-4, 6-4 |
| Won v | Chwalinska M.Cincinnati WTA · 17.08.26 | 6-2, 7-6(3) |
| Won v | Maria T.Cincinnati WTA · 15.08.26 | 6-2, 7-5 |
| Lost to | Swiatek I.Toronto WTA · 11.08.26 | 6-2, 6-1 |
Shnaider this autumnShe beat Katie Boulter 6:3, 6:1 in the first round on 13 October. In Beijing she beat Janice Tjen 6:0, 6:4 and lost to Ekaterina Alexandrova in three sets. At the US Open she reached the third round.
No. 03 · Context
The 11th seed against a qualifier on her fifth match in five days
- Putintseva’s week
- She qualified with wins over Elena-Gabriela Ruse (retired at 7:5, 2:1) and Ashlyn Krueger 6:1, 6:3, then beat Zeynep Sonmez 6:7(1), 6:3, 7:5 on 13 October after trailing 2:4 in the third set.
- Season and surface
- Shnaider is 30-20 this season and 19-12 on hard courts. Putintseva is 33-23 and 18-12 on hard courts.
- Head to head
- Putintseva leads 2-0: 6:2, 6:3 in Osaka in 2023 and 7:6(3), 6:7(9), 6:4 in Adelaide in January 2025, both on hard courts.
In the news
No. 04 · Stats comparison
Shnaider holds serve in 71.5% of service games, Putintseva in 63.1%
| Stat | Putintseva | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Season record | 33-23 | 30-20 (better) |
| On hard courts | 18-12 | 19-12 (better) |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 (better) | 6-4 |
| As favourite | 21-9 | 27-8 (better) |
| As underdog | 9-13 (better) | 3-12 |
| Stat | Putintseva | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 49 | 30 |
| Aces per match | 1.5 | 1.7 (better) |
| Double faults per match | 3.2 | 2.0 (better) |
| 1st serve in | 65.9% | 70.0% (better) |
| 1st serve points won | 63.9% (better) | 60.1% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.7% (better) | 45.6% |
| Service games held | 71.5% (better) | 63.1% |
| Break points saved | 56.4% (better) | 53.6% |
| Stat | Putintseva | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Return points won | 44.3% | 44.3% |
| Return games won | 36.1% (better) | 35.4% |
| Break points converted | 46.2% (better) | 43.8% |
Form rows: 2026 season to 13 October (Tennis Explorer). Serve and return: 2026 season, official WTA stats.. We read the data from Tennis Explorer, Tennis Abstract and the WTA and ATP tours, and form our own view.
No. 05 · Head to head2 meetings
Putintseva leads 2-0
| 2025 | PutintsevaAdelaide · Hard · Q | 7-6(3) 6-7(9) 6-4 |
| 2023 | PutintsevaOsaka · Hard · R32 | 6-2 6-3 |
No. 06 · What others predictConsensus 3 of 3
Who do others back in Putintseva vs Shnaider?
| Source | Their view | Versus us |
|---|---|---|
| Dimers (model) | Shnaider, 72.7% | Same side |
| The Stats Zone | Shnaider to win 2-0 | Same side |
| String Tension (Elo model) | Shnaider, 69.9% | Same side |
Our position3 of 3 back Shnaider. We are on Shnaider’s side.
No. 07 · Scenario & score
Putintseva vs Shnaider predicted score
Shnaider in two sets
Shnaider, a left-hander, holds serve more often (71.5% against 63.1%) and comes in fresh. Putintseva will try to slow the match down, as in Adelaide, but she has played seven sets in seven days. We expect 6:3, 6:4. A 2:1 Shnaider win still wins the bet.
- Predicted score
- 0:2
- 3:6, 4:6
- Alternative
- 1:2
- 6:4, 3:6, 3:6
No. 08 · Why this pick wins
Our Putintseva vs Shnaider pick: Diana Shnaider win
Shnaider to win the match
Why we back it
Shnaider beat Katie Boulter 6:3, 6:1 on Tuesday. Putintseva came through qualifying and then spent 2 hours 51 minutes beating Zeynep Sonmez 6:7(1), 6:3, 7:5: this is her fifth match in five days. Shnaider holds serve in 71.5% of her service games this season, Putintseva in 63.1%. Putintseva won both of their meetings, but the last one was 21 months ago. We expect a straight-sets win, most likely 6:3, 6:4; a three-set win also wins the bet.
Our probability70–73%
Our pickDiana Shnaider win
Odds1.33
Main scenario0:2
- Our scenario
- 3:6, 4:60:2 in sets
- Alternative
- 6:4, 3:6, 3:61:2 in sets
What would change our mind Any news about Shnaider’s fitness before the match, or her price moving outside 1.25–1.45.
No. 09 · Arguing against ourselves
What could beat our pick?
- Putintseva won both of their meetings, the last one in three sets.
- Putintseva has won five matches in a row in Wuhan and at the Asian Games before that won four of five.
- Shnaider also plays a doubles match later the same day.
No. 10 · Our call
Bet
We back Shnaider to win the match: she dropped four games against Katie Boulter on Tuesday, while Putintseva needed 2 hours 51 minutes to get through her first round.
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