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Basketball · USA · NBA · Preseason, NBA Canada Games · Vancouver

TorontovsClippers Toronto Raptors vs LA Clippers · basketball prediction

Score
114:106
Date · UK
10 OCT
Local time
15:30 · 10 OCT
City
Vancouver
Status
Full time
No. 01 · The short versionAnalysis

Who will win Toronto vs Clippers?

Toronto bring the NBA back to Vancouver for a preseason game against the Clippers, but without the name the sold-out crowd came for: Kawhi Leonard is not expected to play. The Clippers are missing Brandon Ingram, Max Strus and probably Bradley Beal. We expect Toronto to win 112:106, without a bet: in preseason nobody knows how long the starters will stay on the floor.

Predicted score · alt 104:109
112:106
Our estimate
57–62%
Toronto win · odds 1.54Our estimate, not a guarantee
Why this call18+Play responsibly
Market
Toronto win
Price now
1.54

Toronto vs Clippers at a glance

MatchToronto Raptors vs LA Clippers
CompetitionNBA · Preseason, NBA Canada Games
Kick-off10 OCT · 23:30 UK
VenueRogers Arena, Vancouver
Our pickToronto win · 1.54 · analysis only
Our estimate57–62%
Predicted score112:106
No. 04 · Form

Toronto vs Clippers: recent form

Toronto 0-1 in their last 1. Clippers 1-0.

Toronto
Lost to Miami in Quebec City on Sat 3 Oct · six days without a game · flew west from Toronto
Clippers
Beat Golden State in Honolulu on Sun 4 Oct · five days without a game
Toronto0-1
  • Lossvs Miami105:129
Clippers1-0
  • Winvs Golden State104:101
Key factToronto lost their opener 129:105 to Miami in Quebec City; the starters played 12 to 18 minutes, and the second half belonged to the reserves. The Clippers beat Golden State 104:101 in Honolulu, with 58 of their points from the bench and Darius Garland scoring 15 in 15 minutes.
Preseason openerTORLAC
Points scored per game in these games.105104
Points allowed per game in these games.129101
Bench points5758
Most minutes by a starter1817
Last seasonTORLAC
Wins and losses.46-3642-40
Points for per game114.6113.8
Points against per game111.8112.6
Point difference per game+2.8+1.2
Conference seed59

NBA preseason 2026-27 and 2025-26 regular season · ESPN box scores and standings

No. 05 · Injury reportExpected

Toronto vs Clippers injury report

No Leonard for Toronto; Ingram, Strus and probably Beal out for the Clippers.

Toronto
  • OutKawhi LeonardNot expected to play, still building up fitness; first game expected on 13 Oct at the earliest
  • QuestionableTrayce Jackson-DavisHead, day-to-day
  • QuestionableJamison BattleBack, day-to-day
  • QuestionableAllen GravesGroin, day-to-day
  • QuestionableNate BittleFoot, day-to-day
Clippers
  • OutBrandon IngramAchilles surgery
  • OutMax StrusFoot
  • OutYanic Konan NiederhauserFoot
  • QuestionableBradley BealKnee, day-to-day; did not play in the opener
  • QuestionableKobe SandersHip, day-to-day
TacticsTSN and Sportsnet both reported that Leonard will sit in Vancouver; his first game is expected on 13 Oct in Toronto at the earliest. Scottie Barnes, RJ Barrett, Immanuel Quickley and Jakob Poeltl started the opener and are not on the injury list. For the Clippers, Ingram (Achilles surgery), Strus and Yanic Konan Niederhauser (both foot) are out, and Beal (knee) is day-to-day after sitting out the opener. Preseason minutes are set by the coaches on the day, so the rotations here are the ones we expect, not confirmed ones.
No. 06 · What others predictConsensus 1 of 1

Who do others back in Toronto vs Clippers?

The one preview we found picks Toronto, with a condition.

SourcePickVersus us
RG.orgToronto to win, but only at about 1.67 or longer; no preseason totalSame side
Our positionWe also expect Toronto to win: a fuller roster and a Canadian crowd. The prices have moved towards Toronto since opening, but a 24-point loss in the opener and unknown minutes keep us away from a bet.
No. 07 · Scenario & score

Toronto vs Clippers predicted score

The starters build a lead, the reserves decide how big it stays.

112:106 to Toronto is our main score: Barnes and Barrett set the tone in the first half, and a Clippers side without Ingram and Strus has less to answer with. 104:109 for the Clippers is the alternative if Garland and Rui Hachimura play longer than Toronto's starters, as they did in the opener, and the Clippers' young reserves win the fourth quarter.

Predicted score
112:106
Alternative
104:109
No. 08 · Why this pick wins

Our Toronto vs Clippers pick: Toronto win

Toronto win: why this pick wins

Our probability57–62%
Our pickToronto win
Odds1.54
Main scenario112:106
Our scenario
112:106alternative 104:109

What would change our mind Toronto announcing that Barnes or Barrett will rest, or Beal and Garland both playing full first halves, would change our call.

Odds and break-even, for reference
MarketOddsBreak-even
Toronto win1.5464.9%
Clippers win2.5439.4%
Toronto −4.51.8952.9%
Clippers +4.51.9351.8%
Over 217.5 points1.9351.8%
Under 217.5 points1.8952.9%

Odds snapshot 10 OCT 10:05 · no bookmaker names

No. 09 · Arguing against ourselves

What could beat our pick?

The case for the Clippers.

  1. Toronto lost the opener by 24, and their reserves lost the second half heavily.
  2. The Clippers' bench scored 58 points against Golden State; in preseason the bench plays half the game.
  3. Nobody announces preseason minutes: if Toronto rest their starters after the break, the favourite changes.
  4. Leonard, the reason the game sold out, does not play.
No. 10 · Editor’s call

Analysis

Our pick: Toronto win at 1.54 · analysis only, no bet: we expect Toronto to win, but preseason minutes are too uncertain to stake on.

Market
Toronto win
Odds
1.54
Published
10 OCT 10:30
Information only. No guarantees.18+Play responsibly
No. 11 · Update log
  1. Analysis published · no bet
No. 12 · After the match
We said
112:106Toronto win at 1.54
Happened
114:106Toronto win

Analysis only, no bet: this match doesn’t count towards ROI.

Analysis

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    FAQ

    What does Analysis mean?

    Our full analysis of the match and the result we expect, without a bet.

    How do you choose a pick?

    We start from the market, then check a statistical model, named previews and our own scenario test against everything that moves the result: lineups, rest, motivation, style and team news. We publish when at least three of the four agree and the pick wins in the main scorelines. A warning sign, such as a back-up goalie or tired legs, moves us to a safer market or leaves the match as analysis only.

    Can a prediction change after publishing?

    No. The pick, odds and time are locked when published. Updates go into the log above.