UnicajavsAndorra Unicaja vs MoraBanc Andorra · basketball prediction
Who will win Unicaja vs Andorra?
Unicaja are 0-2 in the Liga Endesa under new coach Txus Vidorreta, but both defeats were close: 89-87 at Real Madrid and 75-80 at home to La Laguna Tenerife. On Wednesday they won 105-69 away at Juventus Utena in the Champions League. MoraBanc Andorra have played one league game, lost it at home to Obradoiro, and are without Rafa Luz. We back Unicaja to win, overtime included.
- Predicted score · alt 96:78
- 90:80
- Our estimate
- 82–86%
- Market
- Unicaja win
- Our bet
- Double No. 63 · total odds 1.46
- Leg odds
- 1.10
Unicaja vs Andorra at a glance
| Match | Unicaja vs MoraBanc Andorra |
|---|---|
| Competition | Liga Endesa · Regular season, round 3 |
| Kick-off | 10 OCT · 18:30 UK |
| Venue | Palacio de Deportes José María Martín Carpena, Málaga |
| Our pick | Unicaja win · 1.10 · Double No. 63 · total odds 1.46 |
| Our estimate | 82–86% |
| Predicted score | 90:80 |
| Main reason | We think Unicaja win this one. |
Unicaja vs Andorra: recent form
Unicaja 1-2 in their last 3. Andorra 0-1.
- Unicaja
- Champions League win away at Juventus Utena on Wed 7 Oct · 2 full days' rest
- Andorra
- No game since Sat 26 Sep (round 2 postponed to Wed 14 Oct) · two weeks to prepare
- Winvs Juventus Utena105:69
- Lossvs La Laguna Tenerife75:80
- Lossvs Real Madrid87:89
- Points scored per game in these games.
- 89.0
- Points allowed per game in these games.
- 79.3
- Average combined score of both teams: a guide for over/under totals.
- 168.3
- Average points difference. Plus means they win by that much on average, minus that they lose by it.
- +9.7
- Lossvs Monbus Obradoiro85:90
| Season so far | UNI | AND |
|---|---|---|
| Wins and losses. | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Points scored per game in these games. | 162 | 85 |
| Points allowed per game in these games. | 169 | 90 |
| Last season | UNI | AND |
|---|---|---|
| Wins and losses. | 17-17 | 10-24 |
| League position | 9 | 16 |
| Point difference | +22 | -193 |
Liga Endesa 2026-27 and 2025-26 · acb.com standings; 2025-26 regular season table
Unicaja vs Andorra injury report
Unicaja without three, Andorra without Rafa Luz.
- OutTyson PérezLeft Achilles tendon surgery
- OutYannick NzosaRuled out in the ACB injury report
- OutAlberto DíazRuled out in the ACB injury report
- OutRafa LuzPubalgia, out for several weeks
- QuestionableCameron McGriffBack problem; back in full training and may make his league debut
Who do others back in Unicaja vs Andorra?
All three previews we read see Unicaja as the stronger side.
| Source | Pick | Versus us |
|---|---|---|
| Sportsgambler | Unicaja 93:85; their main bet is over 171.5 points | Same side |
| Basketball Sphere | Unicaja the stronger team on paper; their bet is under 176.5 points | Same side |
| Scores24 | Unicaja the stronger side; their bets are over 174.5 points and Andorra +12.5 | Same side |
Unicaja vs Andorra predicted score
Unicaja's defence decides it after half-time.
90:80 is our main score: Unicaja turn the Carpena crowd into stops, and Andorra, without Luz to run the game, fade in the second half. 96:78 is the alternative if McGriff does not play and Andorra run out of legs in the fourth quarter, as they did in February. The pick loses only if Vidorreta's new team is still not working and a tight game slips away late, as it did against Tenerife.
- Predicted score
- 90:80
- Alternative
- 96:78
Our Unicaja vs Andorra pick: Unicaja win
Unicaja win: why this pick wins
We think Unicaja win this one. At home they have beaten Andorra in 12 of 14 league meetings, and Wednesday's 36-point win in the Champions League shows Vidorreta's system starting to click. Andorra have played one league game in a fortnight, lost it at home, and arrive without Rafa Luz. We expect a home win by around ten.
- Our scenario
- 90:80alternative 96:78
What would change our mind Willy Hernangómez or another Unicaja starter ruled out before tip-off.
Odds and break-even, for reference
| Market | Odds | Break-even |
|---|---|---|
| Unicaja win | 1.10 | 90.9% |
| Andorra win | 6.00 | 16.7% |
Odds snapshot 10 OCT 09:45 · no bookmaker names
What could beat our pick?
Why this could go wrong.
- Unicaja are 0-2 under a new coach, and Tenerife won at the Carpena only a week ago.
- Three Unicaja players are out, and Barreiro is covering Tyson Pérez's minutes at two positions.
- Andorra have had two weeks to prepare; Unicaja played away in Lithuania on Wednesday.
- Our own rating, built mostly on last season, has Unicaja about seven points better at home, not the thirteen the handicap line suggests.
Double
Unicaja win is one leg of our double No. 63. We bet the double, not this match alone: total odds 1.46, 2.00 units.
Open double No. 63 →- Prediction published · Unicaja win at 1.10
- We said
- 90:80Bet at 1.10
- Happened
- 92:84Unicaja win
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FAQ
What does Bet mean?
We expect this result and play it, as a single or as one leg of a double. It is logged in the tracker at the published odds.
How do you choose a pick?
We start from the market, then check a statistical model, named previews and our own scenario test against everything that moves the result: lineups, rest, motivation, style and team news. We publish when at least three of the four agree and the pick wins in the main scorelines. A warning sign, such as a back-up goalie or tired legs, moves us to a safer market or leaves the match as analysis only.
Can a prediction change after publishing?
No. The pick, odds and time are locked when published. Updates go into the log above.