QPRvsDerby County Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County · prediction
Who will win QPR vs Derby County?
Our QPR vs Derby prediction is both teams to score, most likely 2:1 to QPR at Loftus Road on Wednesday night. Julien Stephan's Queens Park Rangers are sixth in the Championship but without a win in five games, four of them draws; John Eustace's Derby County are 23rd, have conceded in nine of their last ten games and arrive without Matt Clarke, Eiran Cashin and Charlie Taylor. Both teams scored in seven of QPR's last ten games and six of Derby's.
- Predicted score · alt 1:1
- 2:1
- Our estimate
- 62–68%
- Market
- Both teams to score
- Price now
- 1.79
QPR vs Derby County at a glance
| Match | Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County |
|---|---|
| Competition | EFL Championship · Matchday 10 |
| Kick-off | 14 OCT · 19:45 UK · 19:45 London |
| Venue | MATRADE Loftus Road, London |
| Our pick | Both teams to score · 1.79 · bet |
| Our estimate | 62–68% |
| Predicted score | 2:1 |
| Main reason | We think both teams score at Loftus Road. |
QPR vs Derby County: recent form
QPR 4 from 15. Derby County 2 from 15.
- Drawvs West Ham United1:1
- Drawvs Preston North End2:2
- Drawvs West Bromwich Albion1:1
- Drawvs Charlton Athletic0:0
- Lossvs Middlesbrough0:1
- Goals scored per game in these matches.
- 0.80
- Goals conceded per game in these matches.
- 1.00
- Share of these matches with three or more goals.
- 20%
- Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
- 60%
- Drawvs Wrexham1:1
- Drawvs Burnley1:1
- Lossvs Birmingham City1:2
- Lossvs West Bromwich Albion0:1
- Lossvs West Ham United0:3
- Goals scored per game in these matches.
- 0.60
- Goals conceded per game in these matches.
- 1.60
- Share of these matches with three or more goals.
- 40%
- Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
- 60%
QPR vs Derby County team news
Derby without three defenders and Agyemang; QPR unsure about Chair and Kone.
- OutKaramoko DembeleKnee injury
- DoubtIlias ChairMuscle injury; sources differ: doubtful or out
- DoubtRichard KoneSources differ: in the predicted XI or out with a muscle injury
- OutMatt ClarkeCalf injury
- OutEiran CashinCalf injury
- OutCharlie TaylorHamstring injury
- OutPatrick AgyemangAchilles injury
- DoubtMax JohnstonInjured in training, status unclear
Who do others back in QPR vs Derby County?
Both previews that name a score expect 2:1 to QPR, with a Derby goal.
| Source | Pick |
|---|---|
| Sports Mole | QPR 2:1 |
| footballpredictions.ai | QPR 2:1, both teams to score |
| Starting11 (model) | QPR 45%, draw 45%, Derby 10% |
QPR vs Derby County predicted score
QPR press at home, Derby answer on the break or from a set piece.
QPR have put 4.7 shots a game on target over their last ten and allowed 3.2, so they should create the better chances at Loftus Road against a Derby back line rebuilt without Clarke, Cashin and Taylor. Derby's goal is more likely to come from a counter or a set piece. 2:1 is our main score; 1:1 is the alternative, the result QPR keep producing. Both teams to score wins with 1:1, 2:1, 2:2 or 1:2 and loses with any clean sheet: 1:0, 2:0 or 0:0.
- Predicted score
- 2:1
- Alternative
- 1:1
Our QPR vs Derby County pick: Both teams to score
Both teams to score: why this pick wins
We think both teams score at Loftus Road. QPR have drawn four of their last five, with goals at both ends in three of them, and they failed to score in only 3 of their last 10. Derby have conceded in nine of their last ten games and come without Clarke, Cashin and Taylor, so QPR should find the net; Derby, for all their trouble, scored in seven of those ten. Our score is 2:1, and 1:1 also wins the bet.
- Wins with
- 1:12:11:22:23:13:2…
- Loses with
- 1:02:00:00:13:00:2…
- Our scenario
- 2:1alternative 1:1
What would change our mind A QPR team sheet without both Kone and Chair and with no recognised striker: then we drop the pick.
Odds and break-even, for reference
| Market | Odds | Break-even |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 1.65 | 60.6% |
| Draw | 3.95 | 25.3% |
| Derby County win | 4.95 | 20.2% |
| Both teams to score | 1.79 | 55.9% |
| Both teams not to score | 1.95 | 51.3% |
Odds snapshot 14 OCT 06:31 · no bookmaker names
What could beat our pick?
Why Derby might not score.
- Derby have the weaker attack: 9 goals in their last 10 games, 3.7 shots on target a game, and no goal in 3 of those 10.
- Their main striker, Patrick Agyemang, is out with an Achilles injury.
- QPR have already drawn 0:0 at Charlton in this run, and the both-teams-to-score price comes from a single preview site, not from the UK bookmakers' average.
Bet
Bet Both teams to score at 1.79, a single for 1 unit. QPR have no win in five, so we stay off the result and back goals at both ends.
- Prediction published · Both teams to score at 1.79
- We said
- 2:1Bet at 1.79
- Happened
- 4:1QPR win
Read next
FAQ
What does Bet mean?
We expect this result and play it, as a single or as one leg of a double. It is logged in the tracker at the published odds.
How do you choose a pick?
We start from the market, then check a statistical model, named previews and our own scenario test against everything that moves the result: lineups, rest, motivation, style and team news. We publish when at least three of the four agree and the pick wins in the main scorelines. A warning sign, such as a back-up goalie or tired legs, moves us to a safer market or leaves the match as analysis only.
Can a prediction change after publishing?
No. The pick, odds and time are locked when published. Updates go into the log above.