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Football · Spain · LaLiga · Matchday 8 · Barcelona

BarcelonavsGetafe FC Barcelona vs Getafe CF · prediction

Score
3:0
Date
10 OCT
City
Barcelona
Status
Full time
No. 01 · The short versionAnalysis

Who will win Barcelona vs Getafe?

Our Barcelona vs Getafe prediction is a home win without a Getafe goal, most likely 3:0, so our pick is both teams to score: No. Hansi Flick’s Barcelona have won all seven LaLiga games, scoring 31 goals, and lead the table on 21 points. José Bordalás’s Getafe are 11th on eight points and have scored four goals in seven games. Raphinha is a doubt and Barcelona travel to Galatasaray on Tuesday; this is analysis only, with no bet.

Predicted score · alt 2:1
3:0
Our estimate
60–64%
Both teams not to score · odds 1.61Our estimate, not a guarantee
Why this call18+Play responsibly
Market
Both teams not to score
Price now
1.61

Barcelona vs Getafe at a glance

MatchFC Barcelona vs Getafe CF
CompetitionLaLiga · Matchday 8
Kick-off10 OCT · 17:30 UK · 18:30 Barcelona
VenueSpotify Camp Nou, Barcelona
Our pickBoth teams not to score · 1.61 · analysis only
Our estimate60–64%
Predicted score3:0
No. 04 · Form

Barcelona vs Getafe: recent form

Barcelona 15 from 15. Getafe 5 from 15.

Barcelona15 pts
  • Winvs Sevilla3:1
  • Winvs Racing Santander7:2
  • Winvs Levante4:2
  • Winvs Feyenoord5:1
  • Winvs Valencia5:0
Goals scored per game in these matches.
4.80
Goals conceded per game in these matches.
1.20
Share of these matches with three or more goals.
100%
Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
80%
Getafe5 pts
  • Winvs Málaga1:0
  • Lossvs Betis0:1
  • Drawvs Deportivo1:1
  • Drawvs Celta1:1
  • Lossvs Osasuna0:1
Goals scored per game in these matches.
0.60
Goals conceded per game in these matches.
0.80
Share of these matches with three or more goals.
0%
Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
40%
Key factBarcelona have won eight out of eight this season, the last five 3:1 at Sevilla, 7:2 against Racing Santander, 4:2 at Levante, 5:1 against Feyenoord and 5:0 at Valencia. Getafe have two wins, two draws and three defeats, and have conceded seven goals in seven league games, as many as Barcelona. Getafe have not beaten Barcelona since October 2020, and Barcelona won this fixture 3:0 last season.
No. 05 · LineupsExpected

Barcelona vs Getafe team news

Raphinha a doubt, De Jong and Christensen out for Barcelona.

Barcelona
  • OutFrenkie de JongKnee injury
  • OutAndreas ChristensenThigh injury
  • OutRoony BardghjiKnee injury
  • DoubtRaphinhaThigh injury
  • DoubtJoan GarcíaKnee injury, back in training
Getafe
  • OutJuanmiMuscle injury
  • OutChristantus UcheKnee injury
  • DoubtAbdel AbqarMuscle injury
  • DoubtKiko FemeníaHamstring injury
TacticsRaphinha came back from Brazil duty with a thigh problem; scans ruled out a serious injury, but he trained apart from the squad this week and may start on the bench, with Dani Olmo or Gabriel Jesus through the middle. Frenkie de Jong is back in training after his knee injury but is not ready, Christensen (thigh) and Bardghji (knee) are out, and Joan García should return in goal. Getafe are without Juanmi and Uche, Abqar and Femenía face late fitness tests, and Mario Martín is back from suspension.

In the news

No. 06 · What others predictConsensus 1 of 1

Who do others back in Barcelona vs Getafe?

The one preview we read expects a comfortable Barcelona win.

SourcePick
Sports MoleBarcelona 3:0
Our positionWe agree on 3:0: Getafe defend well, but they score too little to hurt a side averaging more than four goals a game in the league.
No. 07 · Scenario & score

Barcelona vs Getafe predicted score

Barcelona’s attack against Bordalás’s low block.

Barcelona should have most of the ball, with Lamine Yamal and Pedri against a deep, physical Getafe side that will slow the game down. 3:0 is our main score; 2:1 is the alternative if Flick rotates before Galatasaray and Getafe score from a set piece.

Predicted score
3:0
Alternative
2:1
Your score
BAR3
GET0
No. 08 · Why this pick wins

Our Barcelona vs Getafe pick: Both teams not to score

Both teams not to score: why this pick wins

Our probability60–64%
Our pickBoth teams not to score
Odds1.61
Main scenario3:0
Wins with
1:02:00:00:13:00:2…
Loses with
1:12:11:22:23:13:2…
Our scenario
3:0alternative 2:1

What would change our mind A heavily rotated Barcelona XI with Raphinha, Yamal and Pedri all on the bench.

Odds and break-even, for reference
MarketOddsBreak-even
Barcelona win1.0892.6%
Draw11.578.6%
Getafe win23.424.3%
Both teams not to score1.6162.1%

Odds snapshot 10 OCT 11:26 · no bookmaker names

No. 09 · Arguing against ourselves

What could beat our pick?

Why this could be closer than the table says.

  1. Getafe have conceded only seven league goals, as many as Barcelona.
  2. Barcelona play Galatasaray away in the Champions League on Tuesday, and Raphinha may not start.
  3. Barcelona have conceded in each of their last three league games.
No. 10 · Editor’s call

Analysis

Our pick: both teams to score, No · analysis only. We expect a Barcelona win, most likely 3:0; the game is not in today’s bets.

Market
Both teams not to score
Odds
1.61
Published
10 OCT 11:15
Information only. No guarantees.18+Play responsibly
No. 11 · Update log
  1. Analysis published · no bet
No. 12 · After the match
We said
3:0Both teams not to score at 1.61
Happened
3:0Barcelona win

Analysis only, no bet: this match doesn’t count towards ROI.

Analysis

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FAQ

What does Analysis mean?

Our full analysis of the match and the result we expect, without a bet.

How do you choose a pick?

We start from the market, then check a statistical model, named previews and our own scenario test against everything that moves the result: lineups, rest, motivation, style and team news. We publish when at least three of the four agree and the pick wins in the main scorelines. A warning sign, such as a back-up goalie or tired legs, moves us to a safer market or leaves the match as analysis only.

Can a prediction change after publishing?

No. The pick, odds and time are locked when published. Updates go into the log above.