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Football · Spain · LaLiga · Matchday 8 · Seville

BetisvsOsasuna Real Betis vs CA Osasuna · prediction

Score
5:2
Date
11 OCT
City
Seville
Status
Full time
No. 01 · The short versionBet

Who will win Betis vs Osasuna?

Real Betis host Osasuna at La Cartuja on Sunday, fourth on 16 points and unbeaten in their last five games. Osasuna have scored six goals in seven LaLiga games and are without Herrando, Moro and Del Castillo. We back a Betis home win, most likely 2:1.

Predicted score · alt 1:1
2:1
Our estimate
60–65%
Betis win · odds 1.50Our estimate, not a guarantee
Why this call18+Play responsibly
Market
Betis win
Price now
1.50

Betis vs Osasuna at a glance

MatchReal Betis vs CA Osasuna
CompetitionLaLiga · Matchday 8
Kick-off11 OCT · 17:30 UK · 18:30 Seville
VenueEstadio La Cartuja, Seville
Our pickBetis win · 1.50 · bet
Our estimate60–65%
Predicted score2:1
Main reasonWe think this Betis side knows how to win close games: 1:0 against Real Madrid, 1:0 against Getafe, 2:1 at Villarreal.
No. 04 · Form

Betis vs Osasuna: recent form

Betis 13 from 15. Osasuna 4 from 15.

Betis13 pts
  • Drawvs Deportivo1:1
  • Winvs Getafe1:0
  • Winvs Villarreal2:1
  • Winvs Lille3:2
  • Winvs Real Madrid1:0
Goals scored per game in these matches.
1.60
Goals conceded per game in these matches.
0.80
Share of these matches with three or more goals.
40%
Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
60%
Osasuna4 pts
  • Drawvs Rayo1:1
  • Lossvs Atlético0:4
  • Lossvs Espanyol0:2
  • Lossvs Alavés2:5
  • Winvs Getafe1:0
Goals scored per game in these matches.
0.80
Goals conceded per game in these matches.
2.40
Share of these matches with three or more goals.
40%
Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
40%
Key factBetis have won their tight games this season: 1:0 against Real Madrid and Getafe, 2:1 at Villarreal and 3:2 at Lille in the Champions League, before a 1:1 at Deportivo just before the break. Osasuna are 14th on eight points and lost 2:5 at Alavés and 0:4 at Atlético in their last two away league games. Osasuna have not beaten Betis since April 2023.
No. 05 · LineupsExpected

Betis vs Osasuna team news

Betis without Ruibal and Firpo; Osasuna missing Herrando, Moro and Del Castillo.

Betis
  • OutAitor RuibalInjured
  • OutJunior FirpoInjured
Osasuna
  • OutJorge HerrandoInjured
  • OutRaúl MoroInjured
  • OutRomain Del CastilloInjured
  • DoubtValentin RosierReports differ: injured or back in the squad
  • DoubtKike BarjaMuscle fatigue, late fitness test
TacticsManuel Pellegrini is without Aitor Ruibal and Junior Firpo and has to choose between Cucho Hernández and Troy Parrott up front; Sports Mole expects Cucho to start, with Antony, Isco and Abde Ezzalzouli behind him. Luis Miguel Ramis has Moi Gómez and Aimar Oroz back. Jorge Herrando, Raúl Moro and Romain Del Castillo are out, and Kike Barja needs a late fitness test. Reports differ on Valentin Rosier: Sports Mole lists him as injured, Comuniate says he is back in the squad.

In the news

No. 06 · What others predictConsensus 2 of 2

Who do others back in Betis vs Osasuna?

Both previews we read expect a Betis win.

SourcePickVersus us
Sports MoleReal Betis 2:1Same side
Kickoff.co.ukReal Betis win, 64%Same side
Our positionWe agree with Sports Mole on 2:1: Betis rarely win by much, and Osasuna usually get a chance or two.
No. 07 · Scenario & score

Betis vs Osasuna predicted score

Isco runs the game, Osasuna aim for Budimir.

Betis should control the ball through Isco, while Osasuna look for crosses to Budimir. 2:1 is our main score. 1:1 is the alternative if Betis cannot finish the job, as in the 1:1 at Deportivo before the break. A draw or an Osasuna win beats us.

Predicted score
2:1
Alternative
1:1
Your score
BET2
OSA1
No. 08 · Why this pick wins

Our Betis vs Osasuna pick: Betis win

Betis win: why this pick wins

Why we back it

We think this Betis side knows how to win close games: 1:0 against Real Madrid, 1:0 against Getafe, 2:1 at Villarreal. Osasuna are missing Herrando, Moro and Del Castillo, have scored six goals in seven league games and conceded nine in their last two away trips. We expect 2:1.

Our probability60–65%
Our pickBetis win
Odds1.50
Main scenario2:1
Our scenario
2:1alternative 1:1

What would change our mind A team sheet without both Isco and Antony, with the Porto game in mind.

Odds and break-even, for reference
MarketOddsBreak-even
Betis win1.5066.7%
Draw4.1024.4%
Osasuna win6.5015.4%

Odds snapshot 11 OCT 08:42 · no bookmaker names

No. 09 · Arguing against ourselves

What could beat our pick?

Why this could go wrong.

  1. Betis win by small margins: over their last ten games they scored 15 and conceded 13.
  2. Porto visit Seville in the Champions League on Wednesday, so Pellegrini may protect Isco and Antony.
  3. Osasuna’s shots are better than their results: over the last ten games they had more shots on target than they allowed.
No. 10 · Editor’s call

Bet

Bet Betis win at 1.50, as a single. We need only a Betis win.

Market
Betis win
Odds
1.50
Published
11 OCT 08:30
Information only. No guarantees.18+Play responsibly
No. 11 · Update log
  1. Prediction published · Betis win at 1.50
No. 12 · After the match
We said
2:1Bet at 1.50
Happened
5:2Betis win
Won

Read next

FAQ

What does Bet mean?

We expect this result and play it, as a single or as one leg of a double. It is logged in the tracker at the published odds.

How do you choose a pick?

We start from the market, then check a statistical model, named previews and our own scenario test against everything that moves the result: lineups, rest, motivation, style and team news. We publish when at least three of the four agree and the pick wins in the main scorelines. A warning sign, such as a back-up goalie or tired legs, moves us to a safer market or leaves the match as analysis only.

Can a prediction change after publishing?

No. The pick, odds and time are locked when published. Updates go into the log above.