Feyenoord's unbeaten leaders took their row to the dressing room. PSV are next
Our take The row is noise. Eight goals in three games is not
Football · Netherlands · Eredivisie · Matchday 9 · Velsen-Zuid
TelstarvsFeyenoord SC Telstar vs Feyenoord · prediction
Score
3:4
Date
17 OCT
City
Velsen-Zuid
Status
Full time
TEL3:4FEYFull time
No. 01 · The short versionIn our Double
Who will win Telstar vs Feyenoord?
Feyenoord top the Eredivisie on 20 points, unbeaten after eight rounds with 27 goals scored; SC Telstar are 15th on six and have not won any of their four home league games. Feyenoord come off a Champions League game on Wednesday, but we still back an away win at the BUKO Stadion, most likely 1:2.
- Predicted score · alt 1:1
- 1:2
- Our estimate
- 70–74%
- Market
- Feyenoord win
- Our bet
- Double No. 108 · total odds 1.59
- Leg odds
- 1.31
Telstar vs Feyenoord at a glance
| Match | SC Telstar vs Feyenoord |
|---|---|
| Competition | Eredivisie · Matchday 9 |
| Kick-off | 17 OCT · 19:00 UK · 20:00 Velsen-Zuid |
| Venue | BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid |
| Our pick | Feyenoord win · 1.31 · Double No. 108 · total odds 1.59 |
| Our estimate | 70–74% |
| Predicted score | 1:2 |
| Main reason | Our editorial team expects Feyenoord to win in Velsen-Zuid. |
No. 04 · Form
Telstar vs Feyenoord: recent form
Telstar 3 from 15. Feyenoord 12 from 15.
Telstar3 pts
- Drawvs ADO Den Haag2:2
- Lossvs AZ0:1
- Drawvs Heerenveen0:0
- Lossvs FC Twente0:1
- Drawvs Cambuur2:2
- Goals scored per game in these matches.
- 0.80
- Goals conceded per game in these matches.
- 1.20
- Share of these matches with three or more goals.
- 40%
- Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
- 40%
Feyenoord12 pts
- Winvs Como3:2
- Winvs AZ2:0
- Winvs FC Utrecht5:0
- Winvs PEC Zwolle7:0
- Lossvs Barcelona1:5
- Goals scored per game in these matches.
- 3.60
- Goals conceded per game in these matches.
- 1.40
- Share of these matches with three or more goals.
- 80%
- Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
- 40%
Key factFeyenoord have won four in a row since the 1:5 at Barcelona, including 7:0 at PEC Zwolle, 5:0 against Utrecht and 2:0 against AZ. Telstar have three draws and two defeats in their last five, have scored seven league goals in eight rounds and conceded 11 in four home games.
No. 05 · LineupsExpected
Telstar vs Feyenoord team news
Feyenoord without Beelen, Bos, Moder and four others; Telstar report no new injuries.
Telstar
No absences reported.
Feyenoord
- OutThomas BeelenBroken leg
- OutJordan BosKnee injury
- OutBart NieuwkoopKnee injury
- OutJakub ModerKnee injury
- OutReiss NelsonMuscle injury
- OutGijs SmalAnkle injury
- OutShaqueel van Persie
TacticsPreviews list seven Feyenoord players out, among them Thomas Beelen with a broken leg and Jordan Bos and Jakub Moder with knee injuries, so Giovanni van Bronckhorst picks from the same group that beat Como 3:2 on Wednesday. With Real Betis away on Tuesday, some rotation is likely. Henk Brugge, in his first season as a head coach, has no fresh injury concerns at Telstar, and Tyrone Owusu arrives after scoring twice against ADO Den Haag.
In the news
No. 06 · What others predictConsensus 2 of 2
Who do others back in Telstar vs Feyenoord?
Both previews we read pick a Feyenoord win.
| Source | Pick | Versus us |
|---|---|---|
| Sports Mole | Telstar 1:3 Feyenoord | Same side |
| FootballPredictions.com | Feyenoord to win, 1:2 | Same side |
Our positionWe agree on a Feyenoord win and expect Telstar to score: they found the net twice in each of their last two home games.
No. 07 · Scenario & score
Telstar vs Feyenoord predicted score
Feyenoord control the ball, Telstar wait for the counter.
Over their last five matches Feyenoord averaged 6.8 shots on target against 4.2, while Telstar managed only 2.2 and allowed 5.4. Expect Feyenoord to sit in Telstar's half and break them down through Hadj Moussa, Zechiel and Ferri, who have five league goals each. Our pick wins with any Feyenoord win, by one goal or by five; it loses with a draw or a Telstar win. 1:2 is our main score. 1:1 is the danger if a rotated Feyenoord switch off, as in the 2:2 at home to ADO Den Haag in August.
- Predicted score
- 1:2
- Alternative
- 1:1
Your score
TEL
FEY
No. 08 · Why this pick wins
Our Telstar vs Feyenoord pick: Feyenoord win
Feyenoord win: why this pick wins
Why we back it
Our editorial team expects Feyenoord to win in Velsen-Zuid. They are unbeaten in the league, lead Telstar by 14 points and have scored 27 goals, almost four times as many as Telstar's seven. Telstar have one win in eight rounds and none at home, where they have conceded 11 goals in four games. Feyenoord also won both meetings last season 2:1, and even a rotated side has more quality than Telstar's best eleven.
Our probability70–74%
Our pickFeyenoord win
Leg odds1.31
Main scenario1:2
- Our scenario
- 1:2alternative 1:1
What would change our mind A Feyenoord line-up with most of the regular attack on the bench to save legs for Betis, or a late injury to another defender.
Odds and break-even, for reference
| Market | Odds | Break-even |
|---|---|---|
| Telstar win | 7.66 | 13.1% |
| Draw | 5.50 | 18.2% |
| Feyenoord win | 1.31 | 76.3% |
| Feyenoord or draw | 1.06 | 94.3% |
Odds snapshot 17 OCT 11:03 · no bookmaker names
No. 09 · Arguing against ourselves
What could beat our pick?
Why this could go wrong.
- Feyenoord played on Wednesday and travel to Real Betis on Tuesday: three days of rest against Telstar's six, and a rotated eleven is likely.
- Telstar scored twice in each of their last two home games, against Cambuur and ADO Den Haag.
- Feyenoord dropped points twice at home this season, 2:2 against Go Ahead Eagles and ADO Den Haag.
No. 10 · Editor’s call
Double
Feyenoord win is one leg of our double No. 108. We bet the double, not this match alone: total odds 1.59, 2.00 units.
Open double No. 108 →Information only. No guarantees.18+Play responsibly
No. 11 · Update log
- Prediction published · Feyenoord win at 1.31
No. 12 · After the match
- We said
- 1:2Bet at 1.31
- Happened
- 3:4Feyenoord win
Won
Read next
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FAQ
What does Bet mean?
We expect this result and play it, as a single or as one leg of a double. It is logged in the tracker at the published odds.
How do you choose a pick?
We start from the market, then check a statistical model, named previews and our own scenario test against everything that moves the result: lineups, rest, motivation, style and team news. We publish when at least three of the four agree and the pick wins in the main scorelines. A warning sign, such as a back-up goalie or tired legs, moves us to a safer market or leaves the match as analysis only.
Can a prediction change after publishing?
No. The pick, odds and time are locked when published. Updates go into the log above.