PanetolikosvsOlympiacos prediction
Who will win Panetolikos vs Olympiacos?
Our Panetolikos vs Olympiacos prediction is an away win in Agrinio, most likely 0:2. Imanol Alguacil's Olympiacos are third on 13 points and have won their last four games, the derby against Panathinaikos and the trip to Marseille included. Giannis Anastasiou's Panetolikos are eighth on 9 points and have lost three league games in a row without scoring more than once. We back Olympiacos to win.
- Predicted score · alt 1:1
- 0:2
- Our estimate
- 66–70%
- Market
- Olympiacos win
- Our bet
- Double No. 112 · total odds 1.57
- Leg odds
- 1.29
Panetolikos vs Olympiacos at a glance
| Match | Panetolikos vs Olympiacos |
|---|---|
| Competition | Super League · Matchday 7 |
| Kick-off | 18 OCT · 15:00 UK · 17:00 Agrinio |
| Venue | Panetolikos Stadium, Agrinio |
| Our pick | Olympiacos win · 1.29 · Double No. 112 · total odds 1.57 |
| Our estimate | 66–70% |
| Predicted score | 0:2 |
| Main reason | We think Olympiacos are the safest away side in Greece this weekend: four wins in a row, two goals conceded in six league games and a win in Marseille on Thursday. |
Panetolikos vs Olympiacos: recent form
Panetolikos 6 from 15. Olympiacos 12 from 15.
- Lossvs Kifisia0:2
- Lossvs PAOK1:3
- Lossvs Panathinaikos0:3
- Winvs Levadiakos2:0
- Winvs Kalamata2:0
- Goals scored per game in these matches.
- 1.00
- Goals conceded per game in these matches.
- 1.60
- Share of these matches with three or more goals.
- 40%
- Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
- 20%
- Winvs Marseille1:0
- Winvs Panathinaikos1:0
- Winvs Levadiakos1:0
- Winvs Jagiellonia2:1
- Lossvs OFI0:1
- Goals scored per game in these matches.
- 1.00
- Goals conceded per game in these matches.
- 0.40
- Share of these matches with three or more goals.
- 20%
- Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
- 20%
Panetolikos vs Olympiacos team news
Olympiacos without Bailey and Saliakas; five players back for Agrinio.
- OutGaliatsosNot in the squad
- OutKojićNot in the squad
- OutKucherenkoNot in the squad
- OutSatsiasNot in the squad
- OutLeon BaileyNot in the squad again, still feeling discomfort
- OutManolis SaliakasSuspended
Who do others back in Panetolikos vs Olympiacos?
The two models we found both make Olympiacos clear favourites.
| Source | Pick | Versus us |
|---|---|---|
| Wincomparator | Olympiacos win (64%) | Same side |
| Stats model site | Olympiacos win (62%) | Same side |
Panetolikos vs Olympiacos predicted score
Olympiacos keep the ball, Panetolikos wait for a mistake.
Olympiacos should have most of the ball and most of the shots, as they have all autumn, against a home side that has conceded eight goals in its last three games. 0:2 is our main score, with the first goal before the break and the second late, when Panetolikos have to open up. 1:1 is the risk: a tired Olympiacos three days after Marseille, a slow first hour and a Panetolikos goal from a set piece. Any Olympiacos win settles this leg; a draw or a Panetolikos win beats it.
- Predicted score
- 0:2
- Alternative
- 1:1
Our Panetolikos vs Olympiacos pick: Olympiacos win
Olympiacos win: why this pick wins
We think Olympiacos are the safest away side in Greece this weekend: four wins in a row, two goals conceded in six league games and a win in Marseille on Thursday. Panetolikos have lost three straight league games and scored once in them. The five players who sat out the European game come back fresh, so Alguacil can rest legs without losing quality. We expect 0:2.
- Our scenario
- 0:2alternative 1:1
What would change our mind An Olympiacos team sheet without most of the regular back four or the first-choice goalkeeper.
Odds and break-even, for reference
| Market | Odds | Break-even |
|---|---|---|
| Panetolikos win | 9.00 | 11.1% |
| Draw | 5.25 | 19% |
| Olympiacos win | 1.29 | 77.5% |
Odds snapshot 18 OCT 12:26 · no bookmaker names
What could beat our pick?
Why this could go wrong.
- Olympiacos play three days after the Europa League win in Marseille, while Panetolikos have had a week off, and Sparta Prague come to Piraeus on Thursday.
- Olympiacos score little: five goals in six league games, and their last four wins were all by one goal, so one mistake can turn a win into a draw.
- Bailey is out again and Saliakas is suspended, so the right side changes.
Double
Olympiacos win is one leg of our double No. 112. We bet the double, not this match alone: total odds 1.57, 2.00 units.
Open double No. 112 →- Prediction published · Olympiacos win at 1.29
- We said
- 0:2Bet at 1.29
- Happened
- 0:2Olympiacos win
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FAQ
What does Bet mean?
We expect this result and play it, as a single or as one leg of a double. It is logged in the tracker at the published odds.
How do you choose a pick?
We start from the market, then check a statistical model, named previews and our own scenario test against everything that moves the result: lineups, rest, motivation, style and team news. We publish when at least three of the four agree and the pick wins in the main scorelines. A warning sign, such as a back-up goalie or tired legs, moves us to a safer market or leaves the match as analysis only.
Can a prediction change after publishing?
No. The pick, odds and time are locked when published. Updates go into the log above.