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Hockey · USA · NHL · Regular season · New York

NY RangersvsAnaheim New York Rangers vs Anaheim Ducks · hockey prediction

Score
5:2
Date · UK
20 OCT
Local time
19:00 · 19 OCT
City
New York
Status
Full time
No. 01 · The short versionAnalysis

Who will win NY Rangers vs Anaheim?

Our Rangers vs Ducks prediction: Anaheim +1.5 goals, with a main score of 3:2 to New York. The New York Rangers play at Madison Square Garden without Igor Shesterkin, who is out for the season with a right knee injury, so Dylan Garand, with eight NHL starts, is the expected goalie. The Anaheim Ducks arrive after a 3,917 km flight east. The line makes this close to an even game, and we expect a one-goal Rangers win, so our pick is Anaheim +1.5, as analysis only.

Predicted score · alt 2:3
3:2
Our estimate
63–66%
Anaheim +1.5 · odds 1.49Our estimate, not a guarantee
Why this call18+Play responsibly
Market
Anaheim +1.5
Price now
1.49

NY Rangers vs Anaheim at a glance

MatchNew York Rangers vs Anaheim Ducks
CompetitionNHL · Regular season
Kick-off20 OCT · 00:00 UK
VenueMadison Square Garden, New York
Our pickAnaheim +1.5 · 1.49 · analysis only
Our estimate63–66%
Predicted score3:2
Main reasonWithout Shesterkin the Rangers have lost their biggest strength, and the line shows it: about 55% at home is close to a coin toss.
No. 04 · Form

NY Rangers vs Anaheim: recent form

NY Rangers 2-3 in their last 5. Anaheim 2-3.

NY Rangers
Lost 0:1 in overtime in Columbus on Sat 17 Oct · two days of rest · 768 km trip home · first home game after two on the road
Anaheim
Lost 2:4 at home to Boston on Fri 16 Oct · three days of rest · 3,917 km flight east, three time zones · first game of a road trip
NY Rangers2-3
  • Loss in overtime or shootoutvs Columbus0:1 OT
  • Lossvs New Jersey1:7
  • Winvs Tampa Bay4:1
  • Winvs Vancouver6:2
  • Lossvs Washington1:3
Goals scored per game, overtime included.
2.40
Goals allowed per game, overtime included.
2.80
Share of these games with six or more goals, overtime included.
40%
Share of these games decided in overtime or a shootout.
20%
Anaheim2-3
  • Lossvs Boston2:4
  • Lossvs Calgary2:4
  • Winvs Calgary4:2
  • Winvs Winnipeg5:1
  • Lossvs Edmonton2:5
Goals scored per game, overtime included.
3.00
Goals allowed per game, overtime included.
3.20
Share of these games with six or more goals, overtime included.
100%
Share of these games decided in overtime or a shootout.
0%
Key factThe Rangers are 6-3-1 with +0.60 goals a game, but the last week was rough: 1:7 in New Jersey on Thursday and 0:1 in overtime in Columbus on Saturday, after wins of 6:2 over Vancouver and 4:1 over Tampa Bay. They have killed 93.5% of penalties. Anaheim are 4-3-0 and have lost their last two at home, 2:4 to Calgary and 2:4 to Boston, after 5:1 in Winnipeg and 4:2 in Calgary. Their power play scores on 26.9% of chances. Both teams shoot little this season, 23.4 and 24.1 shots a game, and after so few games last season still matters most: the Rangers took 47.0% of points in 2025-26, Anaheim 56.1%.
Attack & defenceNYRANA
Wins and losses.6-3-14-3-0
Points %65.0%57.1%
Goal difference per game+0.60+0.14
Goals scored per game, overtime included.2.803.14
Goals allowed per game, overtime included.2.203.00
Shots on goal per game.23.424.1
Shots against25.226.3
Special teamsNYRANA
Share of power plays (a player advantage) that end with a goal.20.0%26.9%
Share of opponents’ power plays stopped without conceding.93.5%80.0%
Last seasonNYRANA
Wins and losses.34-39-943-33-6
Points %47.0%56.1%
Goal difference per game-0.15-0.18
Shots on goal per game.25.230.8
Shots against28.828.4
Share of power plays (a player advantage) that end with a goal.24.7%18.6%
Share of opponents’ power plays stopped without conceding.79.9%76.4%

NHL 2026-27, 10 and 7 games; 2025-26 regular season · NHL stats

No. 05 · Goalies & team newsExpected

NY Rangers vs Anaheim: starting goalies and team news

Garand is the Rangers' goalie now that Shesterkin is out for the season.

NY RangersExpected
Dylan Garand
Save percentage: share of shots the goalie stops.
.927
Goals against average: goals the goalie allows per 60 minutes.
1.81
Wins and losses.
3-2-1
Starts
5
NHL career starts
8
Daily Faceoff: unconfirmed at 04:58 UTC on 19 Oct; the Rangers' starter since Igor Shesterkin's season-ending knee injury
AnaheimExpected
Lukas Dostal
Save percentage: share of shots the goalie stops.
.882
Goals against average: goals the goalie allows per 60 minutes.
3.17
Wins and losses.
3-3-0
SV% last season
.888
SV% 3 seasons
.895
NHL career starts
168
Daily Faceoff: unconfirmed at 04:58 UTC on 19 Oct; Anaheim's No. 1 by starts
NY Rangers
  • OutIgor ShesterkinRight knee, out for the season, needs surgery
  • OutJoonas KorpisaloLower body, at least four more weeks
  • OutJoe VelenoLower body, long-term injured reserve
  • OutAdam SykoraLower body, injured reserve
  • OutAidan ThompsonInjured reserve
Anaheim
  • DoubtMikael GranlundUpper body, day-to-day
  • OutTroy TerryHip, long-term injured reserve
  • OutRyan PoehlingMCL sprain, six to eight weeks
  • OutIan MooreLower body, injured reserve
TacticsIgor Shesterkin injured his right knee on 9 October in Washington, and the Rangers said the next day that he will miss the rest of the season (NBC Sports, ABC7 New York); The Athletic reported that he needs surgery and a long rehab. Joonas Korpisalo is on injured reserve too and will miss at least four more weeks (Elliotte Friedman, Sportsnet). That leaves Dylan Garand: on Monday morning Daily Faceoff listed him as the expected starter, unconfirmed. He has saved .927 in five starts this season, including a .966 night in Columbus on Saturday, but he has only eight NHL starts in his career. Lukas Dostal is Anaheim's expected starter, also unconfirmed; he has saved .882 in six starts after .888 last season. ESPN's injury report lists Joe Veleno, Adam Sykora and Aidan Thompson as out for New York. For Anaheim, Troy Terry (hip), Ryan Poehling (MCL sprain) and Ian Moore are out, and Mikael Granlund is day-to-day with an upper-body injury.
No. 06 · What others predictConsensus 2 of 2

Who do others back in NY Rangers vs Anaheim?

Both models we found see a narrow Rangers win.

SourcePickVersus us
DRatingsNY Rangers 53.8%, projected 3.37 to 2.96Other side
DimersNY Rangers 57.0%Other side
Our positionBoth models sit within two points of the line, which gives the Rangers about 55%: the market already knows Shesterkin is gone. DRatings projects a margin of 0.41 goals, well inside our pick. We agree on the winner and on the size of the gap: a one-goal game at the Garden. Anaheim +1.5 wins with any Anaheim win, with a game that goes to overtime or a shootout, and with a Rangers win by one goal.
No. 07 · Scenario & score

NY Rangers vs Anaheim predicted score

A low-shot game, decided by the goalies.

3:2 to the Rangers is our main score: Garand keeps up the level of his first five starts, the Rangers' penalty kill holds Anaheim's power play, and the home crowd gives them the last goal. 2:3 to Anaheim is the alternative: Dostal plays to his level, and the Ducks' power play gets one more chance than it needs. Neither team creates much at even strength, so we do not expect a high score. Anaheim +1.5 loses only if the Rangers win by two or more, for example 3:1, 4:2 or 4:1, often with an empty-net goal at the end.

Predicted score
3:2
Alternative
2:3
Your score
NYR3
ANA2
No. 08 · Why this pick wins

Our NY Rangers vs Anaheim pick: Anaheim +1.5

Anaheim +1.5: why this pick wins

Why we back it

Without Shesterkin the Rangers have lost their biggest strength, and the line shows it: about 55% at home is close to a coin toss. We think the Garden gives the home side a little more, but the game should stay tight: both teams shoot 23 to 24 times a game, and a 93.5% penalty kill keeps the score down. Garand's short NHL record is the reason we are not sure enough to bet.

Our probability63–66%
Our pickAnaheim +1.5
Odds1.49
Main scenario3:2
Wins with
3:22:14:32:31:22:4…
Loses with
4:23:15:24:15:36:3…
Our scenario
3:2alternative 2:3

What would change our mind Spencer Martin in the Rangers' goal instead of Garand would make Anaheim +1.5 even more likely; Granlund and another Anaheim centre missing would make us doubt the call.

Odds and break-even, for reference
MarketOddsBreak-even
NY Rangers win · incl. OT1.7258.1%
Anaheim win · incl. OT2.1646.3%
NY Rangers win in 60 min2.1446.7%
Draw in 60 min4.2423.6%
Anaheim win in 60 min2.8135.6%
Anaheim +1.51.4967.1%
NY Rangers −1.52.6537.7%
Over 5.5 goals1.6759.9%
Under 5.5 goals2.1945.7%

Odds snapshot 19 OCT 05:25 · no bookmaker names

No. 09 · Arguing against ourselves

What could beat our pick?

Why our pick could go wrong.

  1. Garand has eight NHL starts; one bad night, like the 1:7 in New Jersey, and the margin is three goals or more.
  2. Anaheim have conceded four or more in three of their last six games.
  3. The Rangers have won by two goals or more in three of their last six games.
  4. A late empty-net goal turns a 3:2 into a 4:2 and loses this pick.
No. 10 · Editor’s call

Analysis

Our pick: Anaheim +1.5 at 1.49 · analysis only. We expect 3:2; the Rangers' goalie has only eight NHL starts, so there is no bet.

Market
Anaheim +1.5
Odds
1.49
Published
19 OCT 06:30
Information only. No guarantees.18+Play responsibly
No. 11 · Update log
  1. Analysis published · our pick Anaheim +1.5, no bet
No. 12 · After the match
We said
3:2Anaheim +1.5 at 1.49
Happened
5:2NY Rangers win

Analysis only, no bet: this match doesn’t count towards ROI.

Analysis

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FAQ

What does Analysis mean?

Our full analysis of the match and the result we expect, without a bet.

How do you choose a pick?

We start from the market, then check a statistical model, named previews and our own scenario test against everything that moves the result: lineups, rest, motivation, style and team news. We publish when at least three of the four agree and the pick wins in the main scorelines. A warning sign, such as a back-up goalie or tired legs, moves us to a safer market or leaves the match as analysis only.

Can a prediction change after publishing?

No. The pick, odds and time are locked when published. Updates go into the log above.