LASKvsLiverpool prediction
Who will win LASK vs Liverpool?
Our LASK vs Liverpool prediction is a Liverpool win, most likely 0:1. LASK have gone four games without a win, including 0:1 at AEK Athens on matchday 1, and have never beaten an English club. Liverpool arrive without Hugo Ekitike and with Isak, Gakpo and Szoboszlai all doubts after a 0:3 home defeat to Manchester City, so we expect a narrow win, not a big one. Liverpool are a leg of both our doubles tonight.
- Predicted score · alt 1:1
- 0:1
- Our estimate
- 70–74%
- Market
- Liverpool win
- Our bet
- Double No. 88 · total odds 1.73
- Leg odds
- 1.35
LASK vs Liverpool at a glance
| Match | LASK vs Liverpool |
|---|---|
| Competition | UEFA Champions League · League phase, matchday 2 |
| Kick-off | 14 OCT · 17:45 UK · 18:45 Linz |
| Venue | Raiffeisen Arena, Linz |
| Our pick | Liverpool win · 1.35 · Double No. 88 · total odds 1.73 |
| Our estimate | 70–74% |
| Predicted score | 0:1 |
| Main reason | We expect Liverpool to win in Linz even with a weakened attack. |
LASK vs Liverpool: recent form
LASK 4 from 15. Liverpool 10 from 15.
- Lossvs Rapid Wien0:2
- Drawvs Hartberg3:3
- Lossvs Sturm Graz1:2
- Lossvs AEK Athens0:1
- Winvs Wolfsberger AC3:1
- Goals scored per game in these matches.
- 1.40
- Goals conceded per game in these matches.
- 1.80
- Share of these matches with three or more goals.
- 60%
- Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
- 60%
- Lossvs Manchester City0:3
- Winvs Bournemouth1:0
- Winvs Tottenham Hotspur3:1
- Drawvs Fulham0:0
- Winvs Atlético Madrid2:1
- Goals scored per game in these matches.
- 1.20
- Goals conceded per game in these matches.
- 1.00
- Share of these matches with three or more goals.
- 60%
- Both teams to score: share of these matches in which both sides scored.
- 40%
LASK vs Liverpool team news
Liverpool without Ekitike; Isak, Gakpo and Szoboszlai are doubts.
- OutRamiz HarakateKnee injury
- OutGeorge BelloMuscle injury
- DoubtMoses UsorShoulder injury
- OutHugo EkitikeAchilles injury
- OutConor BradleyKnee injury
- OutGiovanni LeoniCruciate ligament injury
- OutFederico ChiesaNot in the Champions League squad
- OutWataru EndoNot in the Champions League squad
- DoubtAlexander IsakThigh injury
- DoubtCody GakpoAnkle injury
- DoubtDominik SzoboszlaiHamstring injury
Who do others back in LASK vs Liverpool?
All three sources we read expect a Liverpool win, two of them by a single goal.
| Source | Pick | Versus us |
|---|---|---|
| Sports Mole | Liverpool 3:1 | Same side |
| SportsGambler | Liverpool 1:0 | Same side |
| Opta Analyst | Liverpool 70.7%, LASK 11.8% | Same side |
LASK vs Liverpool predicted score
Liverpool on the ball, LASK deep in a back five.
LASK should sit low in a 3-5-2 and wait for Liverpool to run out of ideas. Without Ekitike and probably Isak and Gakpo, Liverpool have fewer ways to score, which is why 0:1 is our main score and not a rout. 1:1 is the risk: LASK, who over their last ten games put 7.1 shots a game on target against 3.0 conceded (Austrian games only), score first, and Liverpool have nobody fit up front to answer. Any Liverpool win settles our pick, 0:1 included.
- Predicted score
- 0:1
- Alternative
- 1:1
Our LASK vs Liverpool pick: Liverpool win
Liverpool win: why this pick wins
We expect Liverpool to win in Linz even with a weakened attack. LASK have gone four games without a win, have never beaten an English club in six attempts and conceded 11 goals in three home games against them. Liverpool have never lost an official game in Austria. The prices give Liverpool 73%, Opta 71%, and every preview we read backs them; we see 0:1 or 1:2, so we take the win and no handicap.
- Our scenario
- 0:1alternative 1:1
What would change our mind An official Liverpool line-up without Florian Wirtz as well: then the last fit creator in their attack is missing and we drop the leg.
Odds and break-even, for reference
| Market | Odds | Break-even |
|---|---|---|
| LASK win | 8.69 | 11.5% |
| Draw | 5.73 | 17.5% |
| Liverpool win | 1.35 | 74.1% |
Odds snapshot 14 OCT 07:31 · no bookmaker names
What could beat our pick?
Why this could go wrong.
- Liverpool's attack is depleted: Ekitike is out, Isak and Gakpo are doubts and Szoboszlai is unlikely to start.
- Liverpool lost 0:3 at home to Manchester City on Sunday and are 4-4-2 over ten games; their league expected goals (1.50 for, 1.42 against) show only a small edge in play.
- Both teams play again in the league in three days, Liverpool at Brentford.
- Gravenberch's availability after his red card against City is not officially confirmed.
Double
Liverpool win is one leg of our double No. 88. We bet the double, not this match alone: total odds 1.73, 2.00 units.
Open double No. 88 →- Prediction published · Liverpool win at 1.35
- We said
- 0:1Bet at 1.35
- Happened
- 3:6Liverpool win
Read next
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- TrackerEvery bet in one table
FAQ
What does Bet mean?
We expect this result and play it, as a single or as one leg of a double. It is logged in the tracker at the published odds.
How do you choose a pick?
We start from the market, then check a statistical model, named previews and our own scenario test against everything that moves the result: lineups, rest, motivation, style and team news. We publish when at least three of the four agree and the pick wins in the main scorelines. A warning sign, such as a back-up goalie or tired legs, moves us to a safer market or leaves the match as analysis only.
Can a prediction change after publishing?
No. The pick, odds and time are locked when published. Updates go into the log above.